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Table of Contents

 

Larry Kunzler Generated Documents/Reports

 

Date Title Summary
  1815-1939 Draft Timeline Index of Historical Events

The indexes were prepared between 1996 and 1997. They are an attempt at showing significant events in our history using documentation obtained through PDA and FOIA review of government documents.  Since these indexes were created I have obtained thousands of documents that still need to be reviewed.

  1940-1949 Draft Timeline Index of Historical Events
  1950-1959 Draft Timeline Index of Historical Events
  1960-1969 Draft Timeline Index of Historical Events
1995 Graphic Summary of Increases in 1990 Flood Levels Due to Levee System Hydraulic analysis graphic prepared by nhc showing increases in flood levels in the Nookachamps/Sterling areas due to the placement of the levees.
8/11/2002 History of Flood Control Projects Studied

Document lists the flood control studies and the main theme looked at in each study.

9/10/2003 1990 Flood Analysis -- The Big Picture

The documents were created from USGS flow records and Corps of Engineers log records kept during flood events. 1995 was done first in real time and then with 12 hours deleted from the Mt. Vernon column to show the impacts of decisions made by PSE and the Corps.

9/10/2003 1995 Flood Analysis -- The Big Picture  Real Time
9/10/2003 1995 Flood Analysis -- The Big Picture  12 hrs deleted in MV column
11/1/2003 2003 Flood Analysis -- The Big Picture
11/23/2008 2008 Flood Analysis -- The Big Picture
1/11/2009 2009/1/8 Flood Analysis -- The Big Picture
11/2/2010 2010/11/2 Flood Analysis -- The Big Picture - note the 2nd page about USGS Datum
1/24/2004 James E. Stewart Field Notes

The documents were created from the field notebook used by Mr. Stewart in 1922-1923 and from documents obtained from USGS files that were used to write the Whitepaper which follows.

1/30/2004 Index To Stewart Documents
2/14/2004 James E. Stewart Skagit River Flood Reports And Assorted Documents: A Citizen Critical Review Whitepaper

Whitepaper Appendix E

This 52 page research paper was written to analyze just exactly what Mr. Stewart did in his 1923 report. The overall conclusion reached is that we should abandon his work product as Skagit County and the Corps recommended in 1924, and utilize the 80 years of gage records we have at The Dalles.

3/26/2005 Quips & Quotes

Originally published as Chapter 2 of my book however over the years a few more quotes were added along the way. It will be added to from time to time as meaningful quotes concerning the flood issue are located. Many are expected to be used from the historical newspaper articles.

4/8/2005 FEMA -- The Total Failure Package

This paper deals with the failure of FEMA to enforce its regulations and promoting growth in the floodplain.

4/18/2005 County Commissioner Memo re Future of Flood Control

On April 12, 2005 I attended a public meeting where staff presented where the County is with respect to their flood control project. At the end of the meeting I was asked by the Chairman to submit a written memo on what I had observed and what direction I thought the County should go.

5/1/2005 History of Countywide Flood Control Districts (see also County Documents)

Using the Historical Newspaper Article Index I pulled out just the articles that dealt with the historical formation of countywide flood control zone districts.

5/15/2005 Historical Floods Of The Skagit River (1892 through 1951)

This is perhaps the most comprehensive collection of historical information on individual flood events of the Skagit River ever assembled. 98% of this document comes from direct quotes obtained from local newspapers.

6/12/2005

Historical Rainfall & Its Impact on Floods (1896-1969)

The purpose of this document is to look at historical articles and try and determine how much rain it takes to create a flood on the Skagit River. The best answer to the question of how much rain it takes is “It depends.”

7/17/2005

Historical Record of the Avon By-Pass Proposal (1921-2004)

This document was first created in July 2002.  It has now been supplemented with the historical newspaper articles concerning this issue. The bottom-line is that Skagit County has never been able to afford this project.

11/24/2005

A Historical Tribute To Charles M. Dwelley (1929-1970)

A tribute to the former editor and publisher of the Concrete Herald.  This paper is a collection of a few of the words of wisdom from Mr. Dwelley.  You can obtain further historical family information on Mr. Dwelley at http://www.stumpranchonline.com/ and http://www.skagitriverjournal.com.

12/3/2005

Skagit River History

This paper is an attempt to document some of the history of the Skagit River according to mostly government documents obtained from the U. S. Army Corps of Engineers. On occasion it will also contain information obtained from local historical newspaper articles. It is a factual issue oriented paper addressing the log jams, boat traffic, commerce, logging, agriculture, dam building, flood events of the “early days” and much more.

12/4/2005

Letter to FEMA from Larry Kunzler re: Skagit Hydrology Study

This letter was prepared in response to the letter written by Colonel Debra M. Lewis to FEMA re: hydrology analysis.

12/26/2005

Observations of JES (James E. Stewart) Work Product

This paper was created primarily from transcripts of Mr. Stewarts field notebook and a set of handwritten notes found in his files.  It is further documentation that supports the usage of the 80 years of gage records rather then the estimates submitted by Mr. Stewart of the 1897, 1909, 1917 and 1921 flood events in determining the 100 year flood flows on the Skagit River.

1/22/2006 Historical Facts - What Have We Learned

Document highlights some of the facts we have uncovered due to historical research.

2/5/2006

Historical Dredging On The Skagit River (1920-1966)

This document looks at 46 years of Skagit County history, 20 of which actual dredging (sidecasting method) was being done.  It explores all the reasons local people wanted it done and all the reasons the Corps of Engineers says it cannot be done for flood control purposes.

2/5/2006 Flowage Easements

This paper was originally authored in 1996.  Skagit County may wish to consider this as a possible avenue to pursue for impacted property owners affected by any proposed flood control project.

3/19/2006 Historical Dam Building And Their Impacts On Floods - PDF (1924-1969)
(Word Version)

This document was also prepared using the historical information obtained from local newspaper articles. It documents the construction of the dams and their impacts on flood events.

4/24/2006 DC Trip Experience

My reflections on my trip to Washington D.C. Wherein I got to watch my federal government do what they do best... which is absolutely nothing.

5/7/2006 Declaration of Fred W. Slipper

Mr. Slipper's declaration documents the fact that not all of the homes in Hamilton had water in them in 1921 (See 12/24/21 C.H.) and that the house he grew up in only had water in it in 1921 to the depth of a couple of inches until the 1990 flood when it had 16 inches. 

6/18/2006 Stewart 1923 Report -- Retyped Version

This is a retyped version of Mr. Stewart's 1923 work product. The only changes that were made were the font was changed from Courier 10 to Times New Roman 12 and the spacing was changed from double space to 1.5 in order to save space.  Footnotes were added to indicate handwritten notes that appeared on the original presumably from Corps of Engineers employees.  NOTE:  You can do word searches on this document.

6/18/2006 Narrow Canyons

This assemblage of pictures is to document how narrow the canyons are where the dams were built in order to emphasize the probability and likelihood of these areas being subject to serving as collection points for major flood blockages due to log jams, landslides, ice jams or debris flows all of which could have contributed to the Indian legend floods of 1820 and 1856 just like The Dalles contributed to either the 1897 or 1906 flood as documented in Mr. Stewart's field notes.  (See  11/19/1896 SCT, 3/5/1936 C.H. and James E. Stewart Field Notes.

6/18/2006 Letter to FERC in Response to DEIS

This document was filed with FERC in response to FERC's Relicensing efforts on the Baker River Dams and their Draft Environmental Impact Statement (DEIS).  Through the use of graphics produced by this website it is hoped that FERC, the Corps and PSE can see the minimal environmental impacts and maximum flood control impacts additional storage can mean to the taxpayers of our country.

7/23/2006 James E. Stewart Skagit River Flood Reports And Assorted Documents:  A Citizen Critical Review Whitepaper, Updated and Republished

Two years worth of additional research culminated in this now 90 page document.  All of the "new" information gathered further supported the conclusions reached when the paper was originally published in 2004.  Reasons the Stewart data should be rejected include but are not limited to: Doesn’t conform to local history; Report is in conflict with Stewart’s handwritten notes and field notebook; WSP 612 (1929) and WSP 1527 (1961) both use Stewart’s 1918 and 1923 data. (You can’t get to the 1923 figures by using 1918 data.); Reports (1923 and 1961) were never completed; Stewart paid directly by Skagit County not USGS (Skagit owns his work product); No measurements taken between Baker River and The Dalles; Stewart’s work product rejected by Corps of Engineers in 1924 and 1951; Determination of “N-factor” at Sedro-Woolley inappropriate for The Dalles something Mr. Stewart himself was concerned about.

8/1/2006 Letter to Congress re: Storage behind Baker Dams

Letter tries to show Congress that the storage behind the Baker Dams is a reasonable, responsible, economical and much needed action for effective flood control in Skagit County.

9/22/2006 Stewart July 1918 Skagit River Flood Report - Retyped

This is a retyped version of Mr. Stewart's 1918 work product.   Footnotes were added to explain terms and indicate handwritten notes that appeared on the original.  NOTE:  You can do word searches on this document.

9/22/2006 1961 Stewart-Bodhaine Report - Retyped

This is a retyped version of Water Supply Paper 1527 (WSP 1527). The only changes were those of formatting and two footnotes were added to explain technical details.  NOTE:  You can do word searches on this document.

12/27/2006 ISYS QUERY BPA

This document represents all references to the BPA contained in the 28,000 electronic documents in our database. It clearly shows that the BPA does not want to pay for flood control for Skagit County. Given the enormous impact the dams have on flood damages, this outrageous position of yet another federal agency involved with the flood control issue should be condemned by all.

1/7/2007 ISYS QUERY FLOODWAY

One of the most contentious issues in 2007-2008 will be the placement of a floodway in the lower valley in accordance with the NFIP regulations.  This documents represents a small sampling of historic documents that address this issue.  As the documents clearly show a floodway designation was in fact made in the 1980's however was never enforced.

1/27/2007 17B Analysis

This document analyzes the guidelines contained in the Interagency Advisory Committee on Water Data, commonly referred to as 17B as they apply to using the Stewart data in computing flood flow analysis on the Skagit River.

4/15/2007

LJK Analysis of the NHC Skagit River Hydrology Draft Report

Overall, while the document could use some tweaking, it is the best analysis of the historical flood flows ever performed on the Skagit River.

6/26/2007 Joint Exercise of Powers Agreement

Proposed agreement for Plan B involving power-sharing among governing bodies of Skagit County.

7/20/2007 Why Dredging Won't Work

Channel 300-800 ft. wide, 100 year floodplain 5,280-15,840 ft. (1-3 miles) wide, how deep do you think the ditch has to be?

Updated to add slides showing how much cubic yards were taken out of the Skagit and about the ships dredging the Skagit and removing snags "for navigational purposes".

11/17/2007 Preliminary Historical Investigation of East Concrete and Crofoot Addition Flood Levels Submission to nhc of potential properties in Concrete and other locations for forensic investigation to find actual flood levels.
1/15/2008 Why Crofoot Matters One-page explanation that explains why a forensic investigation of Crofoot Addition in Concrete is appropriate to resolving conflicting hydrology.
1/27/2008 Concerns about Pacific International Engineering (PIE) Cited newspaper research concerning PIE's project history.
6/23/2008 Skagit River Reports (Past studies, reports, documents)

This document identifies the examinations, reports, studies, GDM, and other documents written about the Skagit River and was updated with 34 new reports spanning between 4/9/2003 and 2/28/2008. Most of these documents I have copies of and am willing to make available upon request. The original list of Jan. 24 1999 was compiled with Corps of Engineers assistance.

6/2008 Historical Record of Fish Related Issues (1897-1969)

“If the Salmon is to ever reach their historic levels in the Skagit River we must employ better logging and agricultural practices, curtail urban drainage and pollution, re-create the natural estuaries, increase spawning habitat areas, do a better job of regulating the flows from the dams and severely curtail the placing of nets in the river. I absolutely believe that unless these practices are instituted the Skagit Salmons demise is not only apparent but guaranteed. We will have no one to blame but ourselves.”

09/14/2008 LJK Comments on Aug. 18, 2008 Corps of Engineers Presentation

“Corps understatement at meeting, “Doing anything with us is kind of complicated.” ”

09/29/2008 LJK Proposed Modifications to the Goals and Objectives of the Skagit River Comprehensive Flood Hazard Management Plan

Proposed modifications with all additions are in blue, all deletions in red strikeout.

12/14/2008 1925 Metsker's Atlas - Annotated With James E. Stewart Locations

Metsker Maps of Skagit River basin from Burlington to Rockport annotated with known locations where, according to his field notebook, James E. Stewart surveyed for flood elevation marks in 1922.

4/20/2009 Measures 4 & 5 - Nookachamp and Hart Slough Storage Issue Paper Presented to Advisory Committee

“I take great issue with the following verbiage that I am assuming was handed out at the Dike and Drainage Sub-committee: “The Nookachamps floodplain historically has provided various levels of natural storage, depending on the magnitude of the flood peak and shape of the hydrograph, to significantly reduce flood peaks.” (Source: Skagit River Flood Reduction Feasibility Study, PIE April 2006) The truth of the matter is that there is very little that is “natural” about the storage in the Nookachamps.”

7/19/2009 FCZD AC Draft Recommendations With Cost Estimates Provided by LJK Proposed fast-track Advisory Committee measures could cost in excess of $150 Million dollars.
7/19/2009 Potential Sales Tax Revenue for Flood Control Measures from 2005-2008 If Skagit County had instituted a half-cent sales tax (.005) in the year 2005, we could have raised in excess of 42 million dollars for flood control.
8/10/2009 El Nino, La Nina & Normal Flood Years -- 1900-2004 Document compares El Nino to La Nina and our normal flood years.  The document shows us that almost all of our major flood events happened in so-called normal years.
10/31/2009 Levee Failure and Tidal Analysis of the Mount Vernon Gage Research into whether or not levee failures downstream or tides impact the Mount Vernon gage at the 3-bridge corridor.
11/16/2009 LJK Funding Options Six page handout for the November 16, 2009 SC FCZD AC meeting on funding options for flood control.
12/27/2009 The Decade of “Paralysis of Analysis” in Documents In order to prepare for a look back at the last decade we took all the documents published on this web site from 1/1/2000 until 12/31/2009 and put them in chronological order, regardless of their author, into one document. As always, when you put documents into chronological order they tell you a story.
(See Angry Citizen December 2009)
1/10/2010 Chapter 6 CFHMP LJK Final Draft 33 pages of flood history documentation of the Skagit River.
1/19/2010 Handout to Jan. 19, 2010 SC FCZD AC Meeting 7 page handout on actual flood conditions in Crofoot's Addition to the south of Concrete.
3/7/2010 Retyped for clarity and emphasis 8/14/1953 Corps document.

See Seattle District Office Ltr re: Flood Control Requirement and Operating Procedure for Ross Reservoir, Skagit River, Wash. for original document.
For this document we took the original 8/14/1953 document, retyped it verbatim and added emphasis, footnotes, and a flood CFS table to show what the Corps was studying.  The document shows us that among many other things, the Corps used the Sedro-Woolley Stewart figures to compute the Ross Dam storage requirements, this despite the fact the Stewart data wasn’t published yet, and presents a serious question as to why they discarded the Stewart Concrete figures before 1924; if the 1909 flood happened today it would carry approximately only 185,000 CFS not the 220,000 CFS Stewart estimated; and the Corp recommended storage only “start” to be accomplished on November 1st even though 24% of the flood events “studied” happened in October.  This document is a must read for everyone interested in storage issues for the Skagit River.
7/18/2010 Low Low Water in Puget Sound vs. Mean Sea Level “When you make the adjustment of 8.93 feet to the published values and then subtract the impacts of upstream dam storage it is very possible that the 1990, 1995, 2003 flood events mirror the 1906, 1917 and 1921 flood events.
12/29/2010 Documents Posted in 2010 on www.SkagitRiverHistory.com A listing of every document posted to SkagitRiverHistory.com in 2010, broken out between documents dated before 2010 and documents created in 2010.
1/27/2011
Historic Flood Flows of the Skagit River

This document list the flood events and the recorded flows.  I first put this together in 1991 when I authored Skagit River Valley The Disaster Waiting To Happen. Most of the information came from the 1979 Corps of Engineers GDM used for the 1979 Levee Improvement project proposal. I have updated the document each time we had another flood event. It is sort of a running record of flood events on the Skagit River.

3/27/2011 Skagit County... FEMA's Hole in the Ground

Publishing FEMA NFIP Policy Statistics as of Jan. 31, 2011 & Loss Statistics from Jan. 1, 1978 up to Jan. 31, 2011.

4/30/2011 Interesting Quotes From 1/10/64 Corps of Engineers Public Hearing on Avon Bypass

See what your neighbors and relatives had to say about the Avon Bypass in 1964.

“During my life time I have observed flooding of all the towns of Skagit County, from Edison to Stanwood, and I feel sure that history will repeat this disaster if steps are not taken to prevent it.  . . .  New developments and the potential increased population in Skagit County certainly justifies the Bypass with its accompanying improvements.  James Hulbert Sr., Fir Island Farmer, and Dike Commissoner of Several Dike Districts during the last Fifty Years,  January 10, 1964 public hearing on Avon Bypass

See also:
Public Hearing Transcript; Corps mtg with Skagit County residents re Improvement Downstream Levees and adding Fisheries and Recreation to Avon ByPass, Various Exhibits Submitted to USACOE at Public Hearing

5/3/2011 Before-After Flooding in the Skagit River Basin
A series of photographs showing how floods impact the Skagit River Basin.  Note how development has crept into the Skagit River floodplain after each flood.
11/26/2011 www.SkagitRiverHistory.com Comments on October 2011 Corps Scoping Summary Report Comments about various measures proposed in the 10/2011 Skagit River General Investigation Study Scoping Summary Report for the Draft Feasibility Study And Environmental Impact Statement.
1/1/2012
New_Button
Documents Posted in 2011 on SkagitRiverHistory.com “During 2011 we published 165 historical documents and 125 documents dated in 2011 for a total of 290 documents.”  Document lists each posting by jurisdiction of creation divided by pre-2011 & 2011.

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LJK Presentations

All PowerPoints now converted to Adobe Acrobat PDF format.

Date Title Summary
1/16/1998 Basic River Facts

Over the years I have given over 200 presentations to Universities, High Schools, Elementary Schools, federal, state and local government agencies, citizen organizations, and elected officials. The ones listed on this web page are reflective of what those presentations have contained.

5/16/2004 Presentation to LaConner High School (Volcanic History, Flood History, Stewart Report)
2/14/2005 Presentation to Skagit County Commissioners on Historical Newspaper Articles 1895-1969
9/13/2005 Northwest Regional Floodplain Managers Association (NORFMA) Presentation 2005 - PDF
3/7/2006 James E. Stewart Work Product Goes to D.C. - presentation given to legislative aides, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers and FEMA in Washington D.C. - PDF
11/16/2006 AWARE which addressed historical flooding, river migration, flood and fish projects, farming and the future of flood control in Skagit County

6/26/2007

Plan B Presentation - Presentation to Skagit County Commissioners urging formation of a flood agency and excise sales tax to be used specifically for flood project construction.
07/11/2008 PDF of Slides in Hearing re: Clear Valley Farm Wetland Banking Proposal - Testimony before Skagit County Hearing Examiner in opposition to Clear Valley Farm wetland banking proposal.
10/20/2008 Sterling Dam Presentation - Short presentation on the Sterling Dam between Burlington and Sedro-Woolley.
11/27/2008 November 2008 SC FCZD AC Discussion Documents - Arguments for/against staying in the Corps GI process.
01/20/2009 Skagit River Dredging: The Perception vs. The Truth - Short presentation for the Jan. 20, 2009 Skagit County Flood Control Zone District Advisory Committee on the history of dredging and why dredging won't work.
10/25/2010 Presentation: Low Low Water in Puget Sound vs. Mean Sea Level - Questions concerning the datum used for historical floods at Sedro-Woolley and the impacts on Ross Dam Storage.

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HISTORICAL NEWSPAPER ARTICLES

 
Date Title Summary 
10/02/2005

1800s-1919 Master Index Articles

In the summer of 2004 I was contacted by Dan Berentson and asked to assist him in reviewing all the historical Skagit Argus newspaper articles for flooding stories. That project quickly grew into reviewing the Burlington Journal, Courier Times, Concrete Herald and Skagit Valley Herald archives as well. Out of all the projects I have been involved in and all the papers I have authored none have given me more satisfaction and sense of accomplishment then putting together these decade-by-decade indexes of historical articles.  The index includes over 1,000 articles from the 5 newspapers arranged in chronological order.

1920-1929 Master Index Articles

1930-1939 Master Index Articles

1940-1949 Master Index Articles

1950-1959 Master Index Articles

1960-1969 Master Index Articles

All Articles Index: 1895-1970

5/17/2005

Recognition from the American Public Works Association

Helped Skagit County Government win "Project of the Year" award.

6/13/2005

Recognition from the Skagit County Commissioners

Skagit County Commissioners issued plaque awards for our involvement with the Historical Skagit River Flood Research.

Summer 2005

American Public Works Association - Washington State Chapter Newsletter

Awards ceremony.

10/2006

2006 Skagit County Government Flood Awareness Newsletter

Article regarding historical newspaper archive and web site by Skagit County Government.

2/25/2007

1979 Levee Improvement Project Historical Index

This index is a compilation of 30 newspaper articles from the Skagit Valley Herald concerning the 1979 Levee Improvement Project.  It should be considered must reading for all city, county, and Federal employees that were not part of the 1979 project and are currently working on the flood control issue on the Skagit River.

5/27/2007

1981-1984 FEMA-BFE Flood Research

Compilation of articles describing the FEMA flood insurance base flood elevation and floodway determination made by FEMA in 1984.

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BURLINGTON NORTHERN SANTE FE RR DOCUMENTS

 
Date Title Summary 

9/26/1922

GNRR letter and Robert Herzog Report (1st Avon By-Pass Proposal)

This report is significant in that it was the first study devoted entirely to the Avon By-Pass concept and it was authored by private enterprise.

10/6/1922

Hogeland letter to GNRR President

Acknowledges breaking of levees saved bridge.  Felt that when levees were improved they would lose bridge.  Wanted to build bypass.

10/11/1922

GNRR Vice President letter

Acknowledges "enormous size" of floods however due to "infrequency" and "short duration" thought locals had more to lose then railroad so didn't want to get "overly" involved due to probable cost to railroad.

12/20/1923

Letter to GNRR Vice President (re flood control status)

NPRR sent Herzog to Corps public meeting in Mt. Vernon.  He reported, "Nothing of any importance transpired."  Corps only interested in navigation improvements not flood control.

11/10/1936

Letter to GNRR President (re opposition to By-Pass)

Avon By-Pass project to cost $1,832,000.  Locals said they couldn't afford it.  NPRR wanted taxpayers to pay for improvements to their bridge.

3/10/1937 Letter to GNRR President

Tells President of March 2nd meeting in which By-Pass plan was "quite unfavorable" amongst those in attendance due to the cost of the project.  Felt plan would be "indefinitely postponed".

6/8/1955

GNRR Chief Engineer letter

Corps of Engineers reported that the By-Pass proposed in 1936 did not meet their minimum cost benefit ratio.

8/23/1963

Letter to GNRR President

Avon By-Pass again being considered.  GNRR concerned about involvement of Milo Moore (Fisheries Director) in development scheme in Fidalgo and Padilla Bays.

9/7/1965

Letter from GNRR Ass't Engineer

Avon By-Pass cost soared to $23,940,000.  $1.5 million was for improvements to GNRR bridges.

9/1965 Ltr fm Seattle District to Portland District re GNRR Request to Make Bridge #36 A Fixed Bridge Seattle wanted guidance on how to respond to GNRR request to make the bridge a fixed bridge.  Elevations cited in the letter appear to be questionable.
9/20/1965

Letter to Seattle District ACOE from GNRR re swing Bridge #36 across the Skagit River

GNRR (BNSF) wanted to change the bridge from a swing bridge to a fixed bridge.  Stated in part: "The Great Northern Bridge, in closed position, has substantial clearance to the water surface, the bottom of low steel is Elevation 43.1 ...",... "The Bridge has not been opened for commercial river traffic since September 9, 1959."

8/9/1966

Letter to GNRR President

Letter discusses how Avon By-Pass plan would impact their bridges.

11/11/1966

Letter to GNRR President

Letter attaches 11/8/66 Seattle PI article re: $5,804,000 levee improvement project approved by Congress and President Johnson.  No indication in any record that project was ever constructed.

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Corps of Engineers Documents

 
Date Title Summary
12/04/1890

Preliminary Examination of Nooksack. Skagit and Snohomish Rivers, Washington

“The Skagit River is the largest and most important stream in the State. ... The principal difficulties to navigation are snags, drift piles, and shoals caused by them, also the tide fiats at the mouth.”
12/11/1897

Capt. Harry Taylor Annual Report

In this report Capt. Taylor observes that the local Dike Districts are disorganized and have put the levees way too close to the edge of the river.  Also, he compares the height of the 1897 flood as compared to the 1896 flood.  His statements cast further dispersions on the accuracy of the 1923 Stewart Report.

3/2/1907 USACE Survey Map of the Skagit River in the Sterling Area

A wonderful piece of history showing depths of the river, height of the 1906 flood event, location of the Balls Riffle Ferry, pioneer farming family residences, location of the 1897 and 1907 channels, as well as surveys of land elevations.  Notice all depths are based on Low Low Water (i.e. different then sea level today).

9/19/1911

Corps Map of Hamilton Vicinity

Corps maps shows depth of river in Hamilton same in 1911 as it is today.

2/29/1912 Corps of Engineers Preliminary Examination of Skagit River “In compliance with law, I have the honor to report, also, that it is not practicable to coordinate with any improvement of the river, either flood protection or the development and utilization of water power for commercial purposes so as to reduce the cost of improvement and render it advisable.”
1/26/1914 United States Engineer Office, Seattle, Wash. January 26, 1914 Survey of Skagit River, Wash. “Along both sides of the Skagit River below Mount Vernon dikes have been constructed to protect the adjacent lands from overflow, and as these dikes are generally close to the river banks, constant work is required to maintain them, all of which is now carried on by the diking districts. It is evident, therefore, that from the . standpoint of the United States there are certain practical objections to any change in the regimen of the river which may be considered as responsible for future difficulties with the dikes in this locality. In my opinion, no improvement of Skagit City bar should be undertaken by the United States unless local interests agree to cooperate to the extent of assuming all responsibility for the protection of the river banks above and below the works installed by the United States, so that no diversion of improvement funds can be urged by the diking districts for the protection of their dikes. Additional reasons for recommending such cooperation are the protection incidentally afforded the dikes at Skagit City bar by the proposed works, and the fact that the above estimate closely approximates the maximum expenditure which could be justified in the interests of navigation.”
10/10/1919

Reexamination of the Skagit River

“The river is subject to sudden freshets at all seasons of the year.  It has been known to rise 18 feet in 24 hours and a rise of 10 feet in 24 hours is not unusual.  The maximum fluctuation is about 25 feet.  . . .  The dikes on both sides of the river are dangerously close to the edges of the banks, and the land back of them is highly improved and subject to overflow for miles in case of a break in the dike.”
11/26/1924 Notice and Minutes of Public Hearing In Connection With Preliminary Examination of "Skagit River, Washington, With A View To The Control Of Its Floods" Directed By Flood Control Act of May 31, 1924

“I would like to emphasize the point, that Mr. Knapp brought out in his paper, that before any highly scientific plan can be prepared for the protection of this valley from floods, it is necessary to have more authoritative information than we now have as to the amount of water carried by the river in time of floods. ... The information that was collected by Mr. Stewart and given in his report to the committee was excellent so far as the dots that he had to work upon permitted, but that data was necessarily more or less inaccurate.”  Colonel W. J. Barden, Colonel, Corps of Engineers Seattle District Engineer

11/26/1924 Robert E.L. Knapp, Skagit County Engineer, Testimony for 11/26/1924 Hearing
11/26/1924 J.O. Rudene, Skagit County Property Owner Testimony for 11/26/1924 Hearing
11/26/1924 H.L. Willis, Skagit River Improvement Committee Chairman Testimony for 11/26/1924 Hearing
1/31/1925 Preliminary Examination of Skagit River With A View To Control Of The Floods

This report relied heavily on the unpublished 1923 Stewart Report (See Stewart 1923 Report -- Retyped Version) and the people of Skagit County have been paying for it ever since.     ". . .the levees, to protect as much land as possible, were placed too close to the river on both sides, thus unduly restricting the channel.  A flood volume exceeding about 140,000 cfs below Sedro Woolley is likely to cause a breach in the levees.  A volume in excess of this, if retained in the floodway by higher levees, would endanger the bridge of the Great Northern Railway. . ."  . . .  "Floods of from 210,000 to 220,000 cfs may be expected about once every 25 years."  . . . "Diversion of the river would be possible at some point below Sedro Woolley, the diversion channel to run generally west into Padilla Bay."  . . .  Discharge and other data of value in connection with a study of plans for flood control are found in USGS WSP's and in an uncompleted report on Skagit River floods prepared by Mr. J.B. Stewart, of the USGS, jointly for that bureau and Skagit County, a copy of which has been furnished this office.  . . .  "No freight boats now go above Mount Vernon."  . . . "The Skagit River delta contains some of the richest farming land in the State."  100 year flood at Sedro-Woolley = 264,000 cfs.  500 year flood = 321,000 cfs. 

NOTE:  See also Notice and Minutes of Public Hearing In Connection With Preliminary Examination of "Skagit River, Washington, With A View To The Control Of Its Floods" Directed By Flood Control Act of May 31, 1924; Robert E.L. Knapp, Skagit County Engineer, Testimony for 11/26/1924 Hearing; H.L. Willis, Skagit River Improvement Committee Chairman Testimony for 11/26/1924 Hearing.

2/8/1928

Preliminary Examination of the Skagit River

"Complete discharge data are not available.  . . .. The lower river is affected by the tide to the Great Northern Railway bridge, about 17 miles above its mouth. . . . In the early days what was known as the "Old Main River" was the principal channel.  . . . In accordance with an agreement between Skagit County and the United States Geological Survey, that department has made an extensive study of the flood flow in the Skagit Valley. The report has not yet been completed, but copies of portions of it have been furnished this office. . . . The channel is also restricted by the bridges above Mount Vernon and particularly at the Great Northern Railway bridge, whichis located immediately below a right-angled bend. The dike above this bridge was broken and the railway track to Burlington was washed out during the floods of 1909,1917, and 1921, the water flowing across country to Padilla Bay along the general direction of what was apparently a former river channel.
5/1/1928 Corps of Engineers Skagit River Report to the Board of Engineers for Rivers and Harbors

See paragraph #43 on page 2 - the same measures discussed in 2008 and 2009 were discussed 80 years ago.

5/18/1928 MFR Re: Potential Dam Locations “Document identifies potential dam sites and gage locations on the Skagit and other rivers.  “The Dalles on the Skagit River.  A site for a low head dam, which would back the water up to the tailwater of Baker River plant.”
3/17/1932 Skagit River Flood Control River Enlargement and Dikes Proposal to provide for flood discharge of 220,000 cfs.  Water surface elevation 42 feet.  It was found to be impractical to confine the improvement to a system of dikes and channel enlargement.  Channel at BNSF RR Bridge would have to be widened 900 ft.  Near old highway 99 600 ft.    Again the Corps recognizes the Stewart Report as unpublished.
5/18/1932 Report on the Skagit River, Corps of Engineers, Seattle District One of the most detailed reports ever authored about the Skagit River.  Relied upon "An unpublished and incomplete report on Skagit river floods by Mr. J.E. Stewart, of the USGS, prepared in cooperation with Skagit County", to determine flood flows.
10/16/1936 Map and Plans of 1936 Avon Bypass Proposal Map showing proposed location as well as structures planned to aid creation of Avon Bypass.  Idea included widening what is known today as 3-Bridge Corridor between Burlington & Mt. Vernon.
5/29/1937 Preliminary Examination of Skagit River & Tributaries The majority of this report uses the same verbiage as the 5/18/1932 Report including but not limited to population and rainfall figures.  "Local interests do not desire the construction of the by-peas at this time because of the large contribution required of them by the terms of the flood Control Act".  (pg 1)  . . .  It is pointed out in paragraphs 60 and 117, however, that during flood periods Skagit River overflows its bank downstream from Sedro Woolley and inundates a large portion of the delta, the flood waters returning to Puget Sound through many sloughs and small channels discharging into Skagit, Padilla and Samish Bays. (pg 10)  In 1923, Mr. J. E. Stewart, of the United States Geological Survey, collected data for, and partially completed, a report on Skagit River, jointly for his department and for Skagit County.  (pg 17)  . . .  Built without a comprehensive and coordinated plan, many of the dikes are poorly designed and improperly located. In an effort to enclose as much land as possible the dikes have been placed close to the river bank with little or no consideration given to alignment, river sections or other element entering into the proper design of such a system.  As a result frequent breakws, due to overtopping and to undermining of river banks and dikes, have occurred.  (pg 36)
7/30/1940

Report on Survey For Flood Control of Skagit River and Tributaries

" . . .local interests are now unable to provide the required cooperation and that no modification of the physical features of the project will so reduce the cost to local interests as to make it possible for them to supply the required cooperation at this time."  (pg 1) 

". . .the February 1932 flood at The Dalles was measured as 147,000 second-feet, with a run-off during the 3 days of highest discharge of 602,000 acre-feet. It has been estimated that, if Shannon and Diablo reservoirs had not been in operation, the crest discharge at The Dalles would have been about 182,000 secondfeet, . . . (¶50 pg 18)  1940 LAND VALUES as determined in 1930 =". . .an average of $208 an acre." (¶56 pg 30)  The spring flood of 1894, which destroyed crops valued at $1,500,000, prompted the settlers to extend their system of dikes. The flood of 1897 washed out the roadbed of the Great Northern Railway between Burlington and Sedro-Woolley, flooded part of Mount Vernon, and caused a heavy loss of livestock and property above Concrete. The flood of 1906 caused a loss of $250,000.. The discharge at Sedro-Woolley during the 1897 flood was slightly greater than for the flood of 1906, so the damages resulting from the 1897 flood were probably on the order of $300,000. The flood of 1909 caused damages conservatively estimated at $1,500,000. It ruined many farms, destroyed several hundred head of livestock and washed out many miles of dikes and drainage ditches ,. The Great Northern Railway embankment between Burlington and Mount Vernon was washed away and serious damage done to the State highway, That part of Mount Vernon west of the river was entirely flooded.  (¶59 pgs 30-31)  River Improvement Fund -- "The work done by Mr. Stewart was also paid for from this fund."  On March 2, 1937 " . . . county officials stated that the county's financial position was such that it would be impossible at that time for the county to furnish the local cooperation required for the construction of the Avon By-pass as authorized under the existing project."  (¶77 pg 39)  It is estimated that a channel from Sedro-Woolley to Skagit Bay via the North Fork of Skagit River, adequate to carry safely a discharge of 220,000 second-feet, would require the excavation of approximately 56,000,000 cubic yards of material, and the acquisition of about 3,000 acres of agricultural land for right-of-way. (¶103 pg 47)  "...these same flood waters, under present conditions, reach Padilla Bay after flowing overland, . . ."  (¶110 pg 49)

12/1940 Flood Control Economic Justification Study Avon Bypass and Extension of Dikes to Sedro Woolley --Appraisal of Damages 1815 H.W. and 1921 H.W. -- Skagit River West of and Including Sedro-Woolley Samish River Delta -- Portions of Volume I General Appraisal Data and Maps December 1940 The document preparation began in 9/1940 and Volume 1 was completed 12/1940.  All 13 volumes were  7/1950.  "This appraisal of the Skagit River and Samish River Deltas is an estimate of damages that would result from a flood of equal magnitude and duration as the one of December, 1921, under present conditions. It is based on a peak discharge of 210,000 cu. ft. per sec. of the Skagit River near Sedro Woolley. "  . . . "GNRR 1921 H.W. mark on third pier north of steel truse" -- 37.4(pg 102)  1921 Flood Levels in Burlington 1921 H.W. 33.2 Spruce and Greenleaf  meaning water 2 feet deep -- 1921 HW 36.5 Holly & Fairhaven meaning water 2 feet deep -- 1921 H.W. 28.8  Garl (Burl Blvd) & Avon Water .2 in deep (pg 126)
See also: 6/15/1942 Appendix B to 1940 Report on Survey for Flood Control of Skagit River & Tributaries
6/15/1942 Appendix B to 1940 Report on Survey for Flood Control of Skagit River & Tributaries Appendix documents work performed by the Works Progress Administration (W.P.A.)  These projects consisted of brush revetment work in the Burlington Bend area, which began in November 1935.  "A considerable amount of damage to the various revetment units has been inflicted by log raft operations on the river in connection with logging activities being carried on in this area."
See also: 7/30/1940 Report on Survey For Flood Control of Skagit River and Tributaries
4/22/1949

Letter to Skagit County re importance of Dalles Gage

Letter documents the importance of the gage at The Dalles in Concrete.
12/21/1949 Report on Skagit River Flood 27-28 November 1949 "Skagit River near Concrete rose from a flow of 30,000 cfs to a peak of 158,000 cfs in approximately 24 hours."  . . . Interruption of secondary highway travel on some of the lower valley roads begins when Skagit River flows reach about 67,000 cfs near MV." ... ". . .crest discharge of 158,000 cfs near Concrete is the maximum observed since 13 Dec 1921.. ."  $51,000 damage in Hamilton.  Levee breaks on Fir Island, Dodge Valley Road, Mill Town Levee broke.  Diablo and Shannon reservoirs had no effect on the flood because they were full at the time.  Ross had plenty of storage and held everything for five days.  Reduction at MV was estimated at 25,000 cfs. which reached a peak of 112,000 cfs.
1/7/1950 Letter to Skagit County Government Requesting Flood Fight Mapping “The Seattle District is reviewing its maps of the Skagit Valley in order to incorporate therein data which might be of assistance during flood-fighting operations.”

See Also: 1/7/1950 Reply to Corps Request for Flood Fight Mapping
1/11/1950 Corps of Engineers Involvement in Skagit River Flood Control Affairs “It appears unlikely that any project can be recommended in which the local cost will be small, and therefore if effective control of floods is to be realized in the Skagit Valley, a good measure of local financial support is needed.”
2/01/1950 Report on Derivation of Standard Project Flood

“Standard project flood was determined to be 440,000 cfs. … The standard project flood was derived for natural river conditions and assumes no regulation by the dams.”

2/15/1950 Elevations of Skagit River Gages NGVD 29 levels for Skagit River gages.
5/24/1950 Letter to Skagit County Farm Bureau, Re: Dredging “There has been very little additional material deposited in the river during the past 18 years between the south and Mt. Vernon. ... Dredging a cut-off at the mouth of the North Fork or dredging an outlet along the present path of the river from the south to deep water cannot lover flood stages at that point below the stage which would be experienced at high tide with normal flows.”
1/24/1951 Letter to Congressman "Scoop" Jackson, Re: 12/26/1950 Letter from Skagit County Farm Bureau Discussion of various diking projects for Skagit River.

See Also: 12/26/1950 Skagit County Farm Bureau Letter to Congressman Henry "Scoop" Jackson
2/16/1951 Dike Dist. Letter to Seattle District Engineer, Re: Plans to dam off Dry Slough “It has come to the attention of the commissioners that there is a project considered in your office to dam off Dry Slough at the point of "intersection" of this slough with the north fork of the Skagit. We must advise the engineer that the undersigned commissioners are in opposition to such a procedure and desire to place our objection on record and to request a hearing in the event the proposal is further pursued.”
2/28/1951 Skagit River – Rough Estimate of Flood Damages from Sedro-Woolley to Mouth of Skagit River This is a wonderful historical document drafted for the purpose of computing the 1951 flood damages however it also contains detailed information on the floods of 1949, 1932, and 1921.  What it clearly shows us is the reliance on the James E. Stewart data 10 years before it was published.
6/21/1951 Status of Emergency Repairs to Levees in the Skagit Flats Area, Washington Four months after 1951 flood, “Authorized emergency flood control repairs in Skagit Flats, Washington, have been completed by this office.”
10/3/1951 Ltr to Corps of Engineers, Re: Expansion of Dike District 12 “We are attempting to bring additional area into this Diking District, including the City of Burlington, which now has no adequate dike protection and which is not within the aforesaid Dike District.”
12/7/1951 Ltr re: Mount Vernon Revetment Impact on Flood Levels Corps of Engineers reassures upstream dike districts rock revetment in front of Downtown Mount Vernon has no impact on their flood stages.
2/21/1952 Report on Survey for Flood Control of Skagit River and Tributaries “The existing reservoirs are not effective in preventing major flooding in the Skagit Valley, Diablo Reservoir is ordinarily maintained at a high level by Ross storage and has no flood storage, Shannon Lake is likewise held at a high level if stream flow permits, but an incidental degree of minor flood protection might be available if the reservoir should be drawn down because of deficient run-off before a flood, Ross Reservoir above Diablo has a large amount of storage, primarily for power, but the Federal Power Commission has required a reservation of winter flood control storage space. Studies are under way to determine the amount of such storage, and it is believed that it will not exceed 200,000 acre-feet. Because of its far upstream location Ross Reservoir storage cannot greatly reduce major floods on the lower Skagit River, The effectiveness of Ross storage in reducing peak discharges depends upon location of the storm center and other variable storm characteristics, Estimates based on average conditions indicate that crest reductions varying between 15,000 and 25,000 second-feet may be expected at Sedro Woolley.”
2/21/1952 Excerpts from Report on Survey for Flood Control of Skagit River and Tributaries Paragraphs suggest a design of 250,000 CFS at Mount Vernon.  Skagit County failed to reconcile those statements here with their record of 11 floods from 1896 to 1960 with a flood volume of 100,000 CFS to 195,000 CFS, proving the hydrology of the Skagit River was in question as early as fifty years ago.

See: Ltr to Colonel R.P. Young, US COE, Seattle District, Re: Legislative Council Meeting
2/21/1952 Appendix to Report on Survey for Flood Control of SKAGIT RIVER AND TRIBUTARIES, WASHINGTON Excellent description of the Standard Project Flood and current (as in 1952) potential dam sites.
5/11/1952 Skagit River Report, Re: Future Skagit River Dams & Flood Storage Calculations on the amount of acre-feet necessary to eliminate Skagit River Flood Risk.
8/19/1952 Letter to Division Engineer Declares Avon By-Pass "Inactive".
12/18/1952 Memo Re: Report on Survey for Flood Control of Skagit River and Tributaries, Washington Memo on potential further damming of the Skagit River and its tributaries.
1/6/1960 MFR re meeting with Skagit County Officials The Colonel informed the group that the Corp anticipated “a new Congressional resolution authorizing the Corps to make a restudy of the Skagit River flood control problem".
2/3/1961
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USACE Seattle District  Plan of Survey Skagit River Flood Control Study  With regulation at Ross and Upper Baker Dams, a 150,000 cfs flow at SW has a frequency of about 25 years. ... Flows of 210,000 cfs at SW have frequencies of about 200 years under existing conditions.  (NOTE:  REMEMBER THIS IS BEFORE ADDITIONAL STORAGE BEHIND UPPER BAKER.) ... damages from flows of this magnitude would total about $6,600,000.  ...  objective of this study is to find the most economically feasible solutions.
See also: Public Hearing on Flood Control for the Skagit River Basin, 8 February 1961
2/8/1961 Summary of Public Hearing on Flood Control The Bypass project was favored by the Dept of Game and Fisheries because it would have no effect on the existing Skagit River fishery resources.”
2/8/1961 Public Hearing on Flood Control for the Skagit River Basin, 8 February 1961

I am particularly interested in securing information on the nature and scope of the flood control improvements desired; the problems and difficulties encountered under the present conditions, and the proposed developments which would utilize the desired improvements that you would suggest.” (Col. Young, US Army Corps of Engineers)

4/1/1961 MFR Re: Field Reconnaissance, Skagit River Flood Control Survey “Mr. Johnson of the County Engineer's Office stated that boils have occurred in at least the following locations: (1) Riverbend area, rivermile 16, on the left bank; (2) North of West side (Mount Vernon); (3) South of West side; (4) Rivermile 7.2 on the right bank of North Fork; (5) Rivermile 9 on the right bank of North Fork.”
6/20/1961 Public Notice NO. P-61-73 “...There are no longer any commercial vessels navigating on this waterway which cannot pass beneath the bridges while in the closed position. None of these bridges have been required to be opened for navigation since 1959, and in two instances the bridges have not been opened since 1947.”
7/13/1962 Estimate of Public Values Skagit River Flood Plain “50-Year Trend. - Assuming the completion of a flood control project, the cities will expand rapidly into the flood plain with residential sections and outlying shopping centers.  Projecting a very slow, steady growth for the Puget Sound Region, the flats around Mt. Vernon and Burlington will be in great demand as all available coastal uplands will be utilized for residential use near dispersed industrial sites along the coast.”
10/2/1962 Letter to Division Engineer re Avon Bypass Total construction cost were estimated to be $19,000,000 with a $4,000,000 local share.
12/18/1962 Memo to Division Engineer, Re: Levee Repair, Cockreham Island, Skagit River, Washington “The breached levee is about one mile long, has a 10-foot crest, 1 on 1.5 side slopes and is high enough to protect against a flood having a frequency of about 20 years. It was built by a group of farmers some 20 years ago, appears to be adequately maintained by Skagit County, and except for the breach is in excellent condition.
12/31/1962 Memo to Division Engineer, Re: Protection of South Skagit Highway “The damage was caused by the deepening and widening of the old slough and was augmented by a temporary bridge recently constructed by a logging contractor. A debris jam collected on the upstream side of the temporary bridge causing eddies and diversion of the flow to the left bank. Prior to the flood, the roadway embankment was in good condition and had been riprapped at various locations, including the reaches just upstream and downstream from the damaged section. There is no previous Corps of Engineers work at or near the erosion area.”
1/18/1963
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Feasibility Report, Skagit River, Washington (Navigation)

NOTE TO REVIEWER:  This is a very poor copy of the original and very difficult to read.  It helps to enlarge it to 125-150%.  This document looked at the history of a navigation project between Mt. Vernon and Concrete originally authorized by Congress on May 13, 1947.  The final results are in this report as well as a lot of statistical history on logging and local businesses.

"Tug operators advised that a 100-ft channel width and a 6 foot depth would be sufficient for foreseeable navigation requirements." (13) ... Approx 1,520,000 CY of material would be dredged. (15 & 21)  Estimated that annual maintenance dredging would consist of 380,000 CY.  (22b)  Two mills at SW sell annually, an average of 10,500,000 board-feet of lumber to the US Army. (27)  Total annual benefits of barge canal would be $592,000. (28)  Annual cost $474,000. (29) Amt needed to complete study $45,000. (30) The Skagit River navigation study has been authorized and intermittently underway since 1947 In view of this fact ... an effort should be made to complete the study as soon as practicable.  ... $15,000 needed to complete the study be allocated early in fiscal year 1964. (31)

See also Dredging Issue page for related documents and 4/12/1949 Minutes on Public Hearing on Skagit River, Washington, Relating to Navigation
3/20/1963 Corps MFR re Grandy Creek "Considerable opposition from State Fishery agencies to removal of log jams."  "The creek has widened to several times its normal width in the lower reach."
5/10/1963 Corps Inspection Report of County Flood Protection Works Document shows Skagit County was involved in flood control projects from Fir Island to above Concrete at Jackman Creek.
6/19/1963 Corps MFR re meeting in Burlington on Dredging of Skagit River (for navigation) '. . . navigation (project) extending downstream from Concrete to the Mt. Vernon area."  ". . . A depth of 6 feet would be provided for a river low of 9,000 cfs."  "...no united opposition from fishery interests on the proposed project. 
7/17/1963 MFR Corps Visit to Skagit County "Skagit County Engineer. . . recommended that the 1921 flood be considered for inclusion in the report. . ."  . . . "new developments encroaching on the flood plain."  . . . "Ben Martin, a MV real estate broker . . . was not familiar with the flood plain zoning concept."  Mr. A. S. Poison, Vice President of the First Federal Savings and Loan Association, the Valley's largest lender, was not familiar with flood plain zoning.  Dike District Commissioners --- info on dike breaks, maintenance practices, levee costs and year of construction, ...did not keep records of these things and the accuracy of their memories was doubtful.
8/1/1963 Lower Sauk River Dam Analysis & Pertinent Data Analysis of power requirements for potential dam on the Sauk River encompassing 712,000 acre-feet of which 200,000 acre-feet was to be used for flood control storage.
9/5/1963 Letter to Corps from Wash. Fly Fishing Club re Dredging "An estimated 30% of the steelhead in the Skagit spawn below Concrete."  The club is "concerned that a Skagit river barge channel will endanger important spawning beds for steelhead as well as salmon."
9/17/1963 MFR re 8/26/63 Corps meeting with locals re Avon Bypass The Corp attended a meeting in Burlington with approximately 50 residents owning property in the vicinity of the proposed Bypass.  Opposition to the project was based on cost, considered it a “pork barrel project” and that it would not eliminate flooding.
9/30/1963

7th District Congressman ltr to Corps re Sauk River Dam

"This proposed project would involve the building of a dam some four and a half miles above the mouth of the Sauk River. Construction of this dam would result in the destruction of a large portion of our King Salmon and Steelhead spawning grounds."
9/30/1963

List of Corps Mtgs held re Avon By-Pass

7/12/62-- 100% favorable--Best flood control project ever proposed for Skagit County.  9/30/63  Lone Star Cement Co changed plans and GNRR would lose most of their traffic if navigation became a fact. 
10/7/1963 Differences Between 1951 and 1963 Flood Damage Appraisals 200,000 cfs at SW = 1951 125 yr event; 1963 26.3 yr event
240,000 cfs at SW = 1951 500 yr event; 1963 52.6 yr event
278,000 cfs at SW = 1951 200 yr event; 1963 100 yr event
10/7/1963 DRAFT Corps ltr to Congressman re flood control planning for Skagit County Page 2 contains a paragraph citing Stewart's flood flows at Sedro Woolley.  In the final letter dated 10/21/63 those flood flows were deleted.
10/21/1963 Letter to Westland re Avon Bypass Corps advised Westland that there was no outstanding opposition to Avon Bypass.
10/23/1963 Ltr to Senator Jackson From G.A. Flanary re Avon By-Pass "This Avon By-Pass smacks of a typical pork-barrel, patronage, buy-vote deal that is becoming the trade mark of our times.  Believe me, people are in rebellion against big-government do-goodism.  Our neighbors of both political persuasions are of the same mind."
10/31/1963 Corps Internal Memorandum re Cost of Avon Bypass $23,202,000 with a local share of $4,141,000
11/1963

USACOE Avon Bypass Reactivation Report

Unregulated 100yr fld 250,000 to 300,000 cfs (pg 2); The 35-year level of flood protection provided by the Avon Bypass with levee and channel improvements would protect against 79 percent of average annual flood damages under present conditions.  These flood damages are 75 percent agricultural and only 25 percent urban.  Therefore, the project is now required essentially for the protection of agricultural lands, and the 35-year level of protection is well suited to present development.  . . .  The semi-pervious foundation conditions preclude any general raising of levees without extensive broadening of the levee sections, construction of cutoffs to reduce seepage, and relocation of the road systems adjacent to the levee system. (pg 4)  To achieve the same results as the Bypass and levee improvements, the channel would have to be widened from 300 to 600 feet from the downstream limits of Sedro Woolley to the mouth of the river, a distance of over 20 miles.  (pg 6)  ... At Mt. Vernon the 1932 flood of 140,000 c.f.s. has a 12-year frequency; the 1921 flood of 182,000 c.f.s. has a 30-year frequency; and a flood of 245,000 c.f.s, would have a 100-year frequency.  ... 278,000 at SW (Table 2)
11/08/1963 Ltr to Senator Jackson in response to ltr fm C.A. Flanery "We have considered dredging and found it to be infeasible..."  . . . "Our studies to date have confirmed that flood control measures are urgently needed in the Skagit River Valley." ... "Benefit to cost ratio estimated to be about 2 to 1."  ... Avon Bypass would increase protection from a present average 5-yr flood to 30-year flood frequency.
See also: 10/23/1963 Ltr to Senator Jackson From G.A. Flanary re Avon By-Pass
11/12/1963

MFR-Skagit River Navigation Project

MFR deals with off the record meetings with local officials re dredging for navigation project.  100 FT wide, 6 ft. deep channel from Concrete to Puget Sound, 9,000 cfs discharge.
11/19/1963

MFR Downstream levee inspection

Describes existing rip rap.
11/20/1963

Ltr to Corps fm Rainbow Anglers Club re dredging

Club was opposed to dredging and "any future proposals for dams."
11/22/1963 Corps Avon Bypass Plan Informational Bulletin Plan would create a 8 mile long cold clear lake. U.S. Fish and Wildlife developed resident trout fisheries in Bypass. Minimum flow of 100 cfs required. Lower section of Bypass would be used for migratory fish rearing.
11/22/1963

MFR re mtg with Skagit Officials

Corps discussed long range flood control "either by upstream storage or bypass".  "A motion to support the Avon Bypass was passed."
12/3/1963

Ltr to Corp fm Wa. State Parks & Recreation endorsing the Avon Bypass concept.

"Please be advised that the Commission went on record saying that, "they believed that the Avon Bypass area has a great recreational potential, and Congress should be so informed."
12/6/1963

MFR re moving intake for Avon By Pass.

This MFR shows how things really get done in Skagit County.  "Lloyd Johnson, Skagit County Engineer visited the office on 5 December.  He requested that we relocate the entrance to the Bypass about 1,500 feet to the south.  His reason was to take advantage of lower value right-of-way and to placate an influential property owner located at the present entrance."
12/16/1963 U.S. Army Corps letter to BCC re Avon Bypass and local cooperation “The Avon Bypass, together with minor levee improvement downstream of the Bypass, would increase flood protection in the area below Burlington for a flood with recurrence of once in 30 years. For the 1951 flood the Bypass would have lowered flood stages 3 to 5 feet in the Skagit River and 2 to 4 feet in the North and South Forks of the Skagit River.”
See also: 1/4/1964 Skagit County Ltr to Col Perry fm Skagit County re recreational benefits of Avon Bypass
12/20/1963

Memo Routing Slip/MRS re storage in Nookachamps

"The reduction in peak discharge . . . btwn SW and MtV for peaks of 150,000 and 400,000 cfs is approximately 15,000 and 25,000 cfs respectively."
12/31/1963 Ltr to Corps fm Wa State Hwy Commission re Avon Bypass Evidently WSDOT has the elevation of the 1909 flood event with respect to state highways.  "In all but one instance, we find that these highways have either been reconstructed within the last six of seven years or will be reconstructed within the next three of four years.  Plans for this reconstruction work provide for elevation of the highwys above the 1909 flood elevation."
1/3/1964

Memo to Portland District fm Seattle District re Reactivation Report for Avon Bypass

The lower Sauk River is the only location in the Skagit River basin at which major upstream storage is possible. At such time as other multiple purpose uses for storage require development of the Sauk site, sufficient flood control storage could be included to increase the 30-year protection that would be provided by the bypass and improved levee system to more than 100-year protection.  
1/9/1964  Daily Log Engineering Division Basin Planning Branch re Avon Bypass mtg with State Representatives The State representatives appeared to have a mildly hostile attitude about the Bypass and were reluctant to indicate that State assistance might become available to the County in meeting the local cooperation requirements. They voiced a number of concerns such as, they had not been advised of the comprehensive nature of the planning, the information bulletins were too promotional, the work should not be undertaken piecemeal, etc. 
1/10/1964 Exhibit #19 submitted to the Corps from the Bay View--Padilla Civic Association re Avon Bypass The Civic Association had many questions concerning the Bypass.   "Summing up our point of view, we would state that the recreational and fishing aspects are not needed, that they would prove costly, and that the Avon Bypass itself is detrimental to the best recreational interests of the County."
1/22/1964 Basin Description and Summary of Corps of Engineers Investigations, Skagit River, Washington Great documentation with respect to population, land valuation, employment, logging, and manufacturing in the 1960's plus past efforts by the Corp.  ,  "Encroaching on the agricultural land are the urban communities of Burlington, LaConner, end part of Mount Vernon, occupying a total of 1,270 acres." . . . 100 yr  flood = 278,000 cfs at Sedro Woolley. . . The raising of the levee system to increase the degree of flood protection is not feasible because of these adverse foundation conditions.  . . .  Under average conditions Ross Dem storage will reduce flood crests by 15,000 to 25,000 c.f.s. at Sedro Woolley.
1/31/1964 Corps Ltr to Senator Jackson re: Citizen Concerns The individual (Mrs. John Swisher), felt there was "mutual interest" between flood control advocates developers at Padilla Bay and Samish Island.  Corps manipulates information to Senator.  Left out any mention of the 725 signatures on a petition in opposition to the Bypass.  However, Seattle District corrected this in a letter dated 3/30/1964.  (See 3/30/1964 Corps letter to Senator Jackson re Avon Bypass)
1/31/1964

MFR RE: Public Water Supplies in Skagit County

Great history of the PUD, Anacortes Water Treatment Plant and refineries.   PUD - “As of 1960 the total capacity of their system was 10 mgd”  . . .  “food processing plants in Mt. Vernon and Burlington use in excess of 4 mgd”  . . .  Anacortes purchased their system in 1919...was granted water rights to Skagit in 1902 . . . pumping plant built at Avon in 1928.  Naval Air Station used 2.5 mgd.
3/19/1964 MFR re visit to Skagit County Corps officials take pictures of "buildings encroaching on the flood plain.  " We traced the alignment of a future State highway between Interstate Highway 5 and Anacortes from drawings of the Skagit County Engineer.  We also attempted to get a copy of a County flood fighting plan from the Civil Defense Director. Mr. Dahlstad was not in his office, but his assistant said they have no evacuation plan. Their only plan with regard to flooding is a siren alarm system intended to cover the entire flood plain. The County Engineer has complete control over flood fighting operations for the County.
3/30/1964 Corps letter to Senator Jackson re Avon Bypass Corps justifies Avon Bypass plan despite local opposition.  Stated that 180,000 cfs flood was a 30 year event.  In 1990 & 1995 we had 157,000 cfs and they called that a 35 year event.
5/13/1964 Corps Seattle District MFR to Portland District re Reactivation Report, Avon Bypass It appears that funding was a major problem back in 1964 like it is today.  "We are certain that in other interim report submissions now planned, no other basin will have a comprehensive plan more specific than that for the Skagit River at this time.  . . .   With respect to the Reactivation Report, we have modified our proposed funding schedule to reduce the initial year's requirements from $400,000 to $80,000.  This change has been made to undertake alignment studies necessary to establish a firm basis for local participation costs as the first item of work. After this determination is made, local interests will hold an election to vote on a bond issue to underwrite their costs. Until a positive affirmation of local interest capability for participation is received, we do not plan to undertake further studies. This revision adds one year to the completion time shown in the Reactivation Report schedule.
5/26/1964 MFR re Revision to Water Surface Profiles, Flood Plain Information Study 200-year flood = 310,000 cfs at Concrete, 325,000 cfs at SW, 290,000 cfs at Mt. Vernon.  50-year flood 225,000 Concrete, 235,000 SW, 210,000 Mt. Vernon
7/7/1964 MFR re Gages Lake Part of Gages Lake (a/k/a Goose Lake) was included within the Avon Bypass.  Corps wanted to utilize as part of recreational component.  
7/8/1964  MFR re Frequency Curves The Flood Plain Information Report will be published at about the same time as the Interim Report, but will contain conflicting information.   Mr. Gedney stated that he did not believe this situation would cause any problem as the two reports would have much different distribution.  
9/8/1964   Disposition Form re: Preliminary Sauk River storage determinations a. Storage in the amount of 134,000 acre-feet is required in the Sauk River Reservoir to control a 100-year flood to 180,000 c.f.s. at Mt. Vernon.
b. A 30-year flood, requiring 130,000 acre-feet of storage in Sauk River Reservoir, is the maximum flood that can be controlled to 120,000 c.f.s. at Mt. Vernon.
c. A 10-year flood, requiring 77,000 acre-feet of storage in the Sauk River Reservoir, is the maximum flood that can be controlled to 91,000 c.f.s. at Mt. Vernon.  
12/18/1964 Disposition Form Re: Hydrologic Studies
“The U.S.G.S. has maintained a discharge station on the Skagit River near Mount Vernon, Washington since October 1940. This gage is located on the downstream side of U.S. Highway 99 bridge. Between 1941 and 1962 the stages for flows below 30,000 cfs have raised about 2.0 feet.  For flood stages the rating curves are not so well defined, but it is estimated that there has been an increase of about 1.5 feet.”
2/1/1965

Ltr to Corps from George Dynes

Supported construction of Avon Bypass.  Invited Corps to Burlington City Council meeting where his brother was a councilman. 
2/17/1965 MFR re Corps meetings in Burlington re Avon Bypass Document contains great questions and answers concerning the flood issue.  Prior to mtg had "secret" dinner with County Commissioners and was assured of County cooperation..  "There was a hard core of about 3 or 4 persons, including Mr. Mapes of Diking District 12, who completely oppose the Bypass."  . . . "Removal of the dikes on Fir Island would only have a minor effect on flood stages in the vicinity of Mount Vernon." Cost made project prohibitive.
4/2/1965 Corps MFR Addressing Questions Raised at a Public Meeting on 3/29/65 Only 45 Skagit County residents attended the meeting.  List of those are attached to MFR.  Appears to be mostly dike district commissioners.  Example:  Question: If you levee off the Nookachamp Creek Area, how can you be assured that it will be available when we require it in a flood emergency?  Answer: The right to flood would be made a legal part of the agreement turning over the project to local interests to operate. The right to flood this type of project has been utilized many times in flood control projects of the Mississippi River.
See Also: 5/5/2011 Southeast Missourian: Floodway long a source of legal contention, 5/6/2011 Time.com After Birds Point: The Army Corps’ Missouri Floodway Boondoggle, 5/13/2011 WWLTV.com: People in bayou communities prepare for flooding from swollen river  and 5/13/2011 WWLTV.com: 'What gives them the right to flood us?' asks Gibson woman,
6/24/1965 Ltr to Corps fm State Dept of Conservation re Burlington Edison School District Elementary School Construction "On the basis of your information, we are recommending that the Burlington-Edison School District plan on building their proposed elementary school at an elevation of 25 feet above mean sea level, which will give them a 3-foot safety level above the 50-year flood level."
7/9/1965 Series of MFRs & Letters Mostly Addressing 8 Possible Dam Sites and Impacts of Wild and Scenic River Act 7/9/65 8 sites were Cascade River, Lower Suiattle River; Upper Suiattle River; Upper Sauk River; Lower Sauk River; Cooper Creek; Thunder Creek; and Faber site (on Skagit about 6 miles upstream from Baker River).  7/1/65  "A decision to commit a portion o the river basin to a Wild (and Scenic) River category appears premature at this time.  6/18/65 "One hundred year flood protection is vitally necessary for continued progress in Skagit county. 6/29/65 The purpose of this meeting was to inform Seattle Light representatives of our proposed upstream storage studies in the Skagit River basin, determine sites at which City Light has made studies, and obtain data on power studies made by the city. 4/7/65  Ltr fm private engineering company to Corps re Cape Horn.
See also: 8/12/1965 DF re Skagit River Upstream Storage Geologic Reconnaissance
7/15/1965 Ltr from Corps to Skagit County Board of Commissioners re Flood Control & Other Improvements Report "I am pleased to enclose two copies of this report for your use."  . . ."I believe completion of the report is an important first step in the development of a comprehensive flood control plan for the Skagit River basin. The improvements recommended, in combination with the authorized Avon Bypass, would provide more than 35-year protection for nearly all of the flood plain downstream from Sedro Woolley, Washington. As part of our continuing comprehensive studies for the Skagit River basin, we hope to develop a plan that will ultimately provide 100-year flood protection for the basin flood plain."
8/9/1965 Ltr to Corps fm State Dept. of Commerce & Economic Development RE: Comprehensive Planning Evidently the BCC didn't communicate very well with the planning department in 1965.  According to this letter the planning department still had not reviewed the Corps study referenced in the 7/15/1965 Corps letter.  "The County Planner indicated to us that, as yet, he has not seen the Corps' report."
8/12/1965

DF re Skagit River Upstream Storage Geologic Reconnaissance

"This report covers certain geologic phases of upstream storage -sites as viewed on a 5-day reconnaissance by Messrs. A. S. Cary, F&M Branch and W. R. McKinley, Project Planning Branch, into the Skagit drainage area."  . . . The Skagit Valley far upstream has a depth of fill near 500 feet and if the rock floors of the Sauk and Skagit are concordant, the depth is well below sea level."
See also: 7/9/1965 Series of MFRs & Letters Mostly Addressing 8 Possible Dam Sites and Impacts of Wild and Scenic River Act
8/31/1965 Corps Ltr to Clear Lake Resident RE: Erosion Problems "We recognize the damage that bank erosion does to adjacent lands and improvements, but the Corps of Engineers under its authorities for assistance in flood emergencies and in small flood control projects cannot undertake bank protection except for protection of a public facility. We appreciate that the Avon Bypass and proposed levee and channel improvements set forth in our current survey report will not have much effect upstream of Sedro Woolley, but they are a most important first step in flood protection of the 68,000 acres of valuable land in the Skagit River delta."
9/1965 Ltr fm Seattle District to Portland District re GNRR Request to Make Bridge #36 A Fixed Bridge Seattle wanted guidance on how to respond to GNRR request to make the bridge a fixed bridge.  Elevations cited in the letter appear to be questionable.
9/7/1965 Corps letter to Congressman Meeds re Avon Bypass Extensive letter justifying the Bypass concept.  Addresses why dredging won't work and setback levees too expensive.
1/15/1966 MFR re mtg in MV re Recreational Benefits of Avon Bypass Corps and Bureau of Outdoor Recreation met with Skagit County Parks Board.  Addressed dredging, Ross Dam Storage and support for recreational element of Bypass plan.
2/7/1966 MFR re levee raising instead of Avon Bypass Corps explored the possibility of abandoning the Avon Bypass in favor of increased levees. The County engineer had “no objections” to a levee alternative if the “blowout problem” could be solved.
3/1/1966 Supplement to Review Report on Flood Control and Other Improvements on Skagit River, Wa., Corps of Engineers, Seattle District Report address a myriad of flood control options including dredging, widening channel, dredging the mouth of the river and levee raising.  
5/4/1966 Ltr to Seattle District fm Bureau of Outdoor Recreation re Status of Wild & Scenic Rivers Designations " In this case, we must consider the value of the Skagit River and its tributaries nationally as a unit of a National Wild River System as compared to the benefits a single project which could adversely affect the overall values involved."  ...  " we must consider the benefits of the Skagit as a unit of a National Wild River System as superior to those of the Lower Sauk Project.
6/7/1966 Corps DF re Avon By-Pass Skagit River Widening By widening the river in the 3 Bridge Corridor the 180,000 cfs profile was lowered to approx. 120,000 cfs.
6/8/1966 Corps DF re Estimate of Cost to Raise Railroad Tracks Total cost of two plans was $1,500,000.
6/14/1966 MFR re Alternatives to Avon Bypass The most feasible alternative to the Avon Bypass and downstream levee and channel improvement was found to be raising of existing levees. The cost was estimated at $27,400,000. That cost was $4,682,000 less than the Avon Bypass and downstream levee improvements which had soared from the original cost of $9,600,000 to $32,082,000.
7/1966 Flood Plain Information Study, Skagit River, Summary Report Draft 17 page summary report of the Technical Report performed by Corps on behalf of Washington State Department of Conservation (forerunner of Dept of Ecology).
7/12/1966 Corps MFR re Meeting With Washington State Legislative Interim Committee on Water Resources in Mt. Vernon "Purpose of the meeting was to acquaint the Committee with local flood control problems, plans and road blocks to flood control solutions.  This information will be used to draw up State Legislation to remove State laws that block flood control district mergers and provide legislation that would permit an expanded State policy on flood control."  . . . However, the Interim Committee of the State Legislature, Flood Control Districts, and the representatives of the Department of Conservation all failed to indicate any specific developing theme for planning of State assistance.
8/13/1966 MFR re meeting with Skagit County re Avon Bypass The Commissioners stated that the maximum contribution that Skagit County could make toward the proposed $6,000,000 local contribution was $2,000,000. This would be accomplished by a 2-mill levy on current property assessments. The Commissioners would only support the Avon Bypass project if it was approved by the voters and the diking districts would have to sponsor the project for the County.
8/23/1966 MFR re status of Avon Bypass Plan Corps twisted arm of State Government to threaten Skagit County with withdrawal of State "band-aid" approach to flood control unless they move forward on flood control.  "Skagit County facing a flood control crisis due to lack of a county-wide flood control plan.
8/25/1966 Corps letter to County re Avon Bypass Plan Letter clearly shows frustration factor Corps had in dealing with Skagit County.  "In effect, it appears that Skagit County is facing a crisis in their planning not only for maintenance of the existing levee system but for attaining a higher level of flood protection in the valley."
11/22/1966 CORP MFR re mtgs with local interest--Purpose of meetings were to answer questions re levee & channel improvements Meetings took place in Conway & Mt. Vernon.  18 people attended in Conway.  COE told locals that if money was appropriated in 1969 the project could be completed in 1972.  Widening the channel would cause bars to build up until high flows took them out.  Corps was informed about the "quicksand" in some areas.  Corps said they would study it.  Studies would begin as soon as Congress appropriates money.  16 people attended the MV mtg.  Local cost was estimated at $237,000.
1/4/1967 Daily Log re mtg with George Dynes Dynes told Corps about basin-wide commission for consideration of flood control and other water resource developments.  Dynes also wanted to use the Avon By-Pass for dumping water from the nuclear power plant so it could be used as irrigation water.
1/27/1967 CORPS ltr in response to 1/17/1967 ltr Corps let BCC know that they were willing to work with the committee.
2/3/1967 Corps Daily Log entry re telephone conversation with County Engineer Corps wanted new flood control committee to call itself the Water Resource Planning Committee rather than a Flood Control Committee so that it could start out with an objective of having a comprehensive look at all aspects of water resources planning rather than limit themselves to flood control.
2/15/1967 Ltr to Corps fm County re mtg with Water Resources Advisory Committee ("WRAC") County offers to take Corps personnel to dinner at Max Dales.
2/20/1967 DF re Meeting With Local Interests on Skagit River Basin Planning It was Corps idea to form Water Resources Committee.  One purpose of the committee was to form countywide Flood Control District for project sponsorship.
2/24/1967 Ltr to County fm Corps in response to 2/15/67 re mtg with Water Resources Advisory Committee Corps will attend mtg with Water Resources Advisory Committee and took County up on offer for dinner at Max Dales.
5/12/1967 MFR re County's Failure to Provide Public Notice re mtg with Advisory Committee County Engineer agreed to "attend to the matter at once".
5/13/1967 Legal Notice Published in SVH re Public Meeting with Corps "The levee and channel improvement project alone would increase the minimum level of flood protection on the Skagit River downstream from Burlington to once in only eight years.  The present expected occurrence is once in three years."
6/21/1967 MFR RE: "Field Visit" During High Flows Due To Snow Melt Concrete 70,000 cfs, Mt. Vernon 77,000 cfs.  People in Sedro Woolley wanted dam on the Sauk.  Nookachamp area was inundated by backwater from the main river.  "...residential homes that have been constructed in the flood plains from Sedro Woolley to Marblemount should have added consideration for flood control."
7/18/1967 MFR RE: Baker River storage "...if an exchange of power storage for flood control use is economically feasible now, it should be even more favorable in the future."
10/19/1967 MFR re Skagit County Commissioner Attempts to Form Countywide Flood Control District Corps wanted local funds in hand by January 1, 1967.  FCZD was not formed until 9/1/1970.  See Resolution re: Countywide Flood Control Zone District.
11/01/1967 DF re Maximization Study of Avon Bypass Bypass would have maximum benefits at 83,000 cfs.  . . . Benefits were based on 1963 study.
6/7/1968 Corps Draft Response to 5/14/1968 ltr to Senator Magnuson Re: New Building Regulations for Mt. Vernon Library "Executive Order 11296 of 10 August 1966 requires the heads of executive agencies to prevent uneconomic development of the Nation's flood plains, particularly in connection with Federal lands and installations and Federally financed or supported improvements."  . . .  "The architect has given the proposed finished floor elevation of the library as 22.18 feet above mean sea level. The elevation of the protecting levee in this area varies between elevations 28 and 30 feet above mean sea level. This levee is estimated to provide flood protection with adequate freeboard for a flood having a recurrence interval of once in 8 years. With a combination of flood fighting efforts and the use of minimum freeboard the probability exists that protection could be provided for a flood having a recurrence interval of once in 15 years."
See also: 5/14/1968 Mt. Vernon Public Library Ltr to Senator Magnuson Re: New Building Regulations
7/3/1968 Corps MFR re Skagit County Proposed Land Use Plan Land Use Plan was not adopted until 1973.  (See 4/1973 Comprehensive Land Use Planning Alternatives for the Skagit River Floodplain and Related Uplands)  Flood control projects did not require a zoning change.
8/25/1968 Ltr to County Commissioners fm Corps re Avon Bypass Project ("ABP") and Diversity of Opinions Amongst Local Individuals One of the most important letters ever written on the flood issue.  ABP reactivated in 2/1965.  Study completed in July 1966.  Channel would have been located at Avon to Telegraph Slough.  Project included channel widening  upstream of Avon and extension of levees upstream of Burlington.  Same plan as 1965 except entrance was 3 miles downstream in order to accommodate Burlington area from future expansion.  Cost increased from $23,250,000 to $28,200,000 with local cost being $6,100,000.  . . . ". . .Skagit County is facing a crisis in their planning. . ."
10/9/1968 Corps MFR re mtg with Skagit County Planning Dept. re Avon Bypass "... both the Avon Bypass Project and the Levee and Channel Improvement Project are authorized for construction, but due to a lack of local sponsorship, are not being constructed."  . . . : "a change in operations at the upper Baker Power Dam could provide additional justified flood protection in addition to the two projects already authorized.
11/25/1970 DF re Avon By-pass and using trash for levee fill Locals wanted to know if they could use "encased solid waste" for levee construction.  We could change Mt. Vernons name to Mt. Trashmore.  County also wanted to know if they could "bid" on the levee projects.
6/17/1971 Corps ltr to County Commissioners re additional requirements for Corps project other than the formation of Flood Control Zone District Corps wanted to be assured of "continuing maintenance" of project and wanted county to be aware that they were responsible for additional right-of-way acquisition cost.
12/30/1971 Corps ltr to Skagit County BCC re flooding problems at Big Lake “Corps looked at concrete gated structure to control flows up to 3,600 cfs.  Such a project was not considered feasible.  Corps encouraged Big Lake residents to purchase flood insurance. ”
7/11/1972 Skagit Valley Herald article "Seepage causing great concern; hundreds of acres reported flooded" and articles addressing Grandy Creek landslide Article addresses severe drainage problems in the "River bend area".  River height not letting water drain "as long as the water is below the 13 foot level."  River hadn't been that low for 6 weeks.  "Above the 13 foot level, he said, seepage from the river is a constant menace to farmers in the area."
1974 1974 Notes on Burlington Ring Dike 1974 preliminary plan for ring dike around City of Burlington.
07/12/1974 MFR: LaConner Flood Problems 1974 discussion of potential installation of a ring dike around La Conner.
7/24/1974 Corps MFR re DOE regulation re building heights The Department of Ecology regulations required all building within 200 feet of the levees to be built at or above the top of existing levee.  A meeting was scheduled with the DOE for 7/31/1974.
7/26/1974 Corps ltr to Skagit Conservation District Corps agreed to come to meeting with SCD on September 18th to discuss Avon Bypass and Sauk River Dam.
3/1975
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Public Brochure re Additional Flood Control at Upper Baker Project














Dept. Ecol. = State Department of Ecology
EPA = Environmental Protection Agency
PNWWA = Pacific Northwest Waterways Association
SWCD = Soil & Water Conservation District
Sierra = Sierra Club

A comprehensive plan, completed in 1971, called for increasing Skagit River flood control through use of reservoir capacity provided by Puget Sound Power and Light Company's Upper Baker hydroelectric power project in addition to the 16,000 acre-feet of storage space now available during the winter flood season. The detailed feasibility investigation being completed by the Corps of Engineers was in follow-up to the comprehensive study and undertaken under the same authority.  . . .  Land use zoning, development restrictions, flood proofing and early flood warning are flood plain management elements of this alternative which would be continued by Skagit County and the State of Washington.  . . . Baker Lake would be lowered to provide a total of 74,000 acre-feet of flood control storage between 15 November and 1 March each year.  . . .  Although increased flood control capability has the potential of creating increased development pressure on flood plain lands, especially those close to urban areas and those now protected by dikes and levees, this pressure is expected to be minimal.  . . . However, the application of stringent flood plain management techniques and flood plain zoning by Skagit County, as called for in the recommended plan, should reduce the likelihood and severity of such losses.  . . . The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and the National Marine Fisheries Service late in the study asked that flood control drawdown occur earlier than necessary for flood control in order to benefit Baker Lake salmon production.  This earlier drawdown would increase power losses and, therefore, would have to be justified by fishery enhancement benefits. No current provision exists in the FPC license for such a project operation change.  Because of this and the lack of data on fish production, the Corps study did not evaluate the early drawdown proposal.  . . .  Detailed engineering, economic and environmental impact studies were conducted over the past 2 years . . . Land use. The increased flood protection provided by this alternative (additional 58,000 ac ft storage) would not be sufficient to allow relaxation of current restrictions on intensive developments in flood hazard areas. Therefore, no effect on land use is expected.

COMMENTS RE ADDITIONAL STORAGE

False sense of security. Encourages development of flood plain for uses incompatible with flooding.  (Sierra) Would create a false sense of security which could induce continued building in floodprone areas. (R. Hammond, SWCD)  . . .  Not enough protection. Only corrects about 8 percent of the total flood damage of the basin. (Dept. Ecol.) Watershed above Upper Baker includes less than 7 percent of area of the Skagit at Mt. Vernon and about 10 percent of runoff volume. This degree of control would be small under severe conditions.  (SWCD)  . . .  Storage will increase. The additional flood storage could make the difference between the (a) disaster or high river stage. (PNWWA) Additional flood storage at Upper Baker will not adversely affect the environmental values of Skagit Valley. (EPA) It is only a start on the overall control program for Skagit, and its benefits will more than justify the costs.  (SWCD)

4/29/1975 Corps letter to County re request to undertake preconstruction engineering studies for the authorized Skagit River Levee and Channel Improvement Project ...Flood plain management as now implemented by both your county and the State of Washington, Department of Ecology. has given us confidence those residing in the flood plain are. and will continue to be aware of the actual flood risk, and that development is regulated, consistent with this risk.
5/1/1975 Corps ltr to Senator Magnuson re response to County ltr to Senator 4/1/1975 "...the Pacific Northwest River Basins Commission did not recommend a plan for the Skagit basin..."  "The Corps of Engineers has not conducted feasibility studies of such a project" (i.e. Sauk River Dam).
5/7/1975 Congressman Meeds ltr to Corps re scenic river classification and feasibility study Congressman wanted to know if such a study had been done and didn't feel Wild and Scenic classification would be done before 1978 or 1979.
5/19/1975 Corps ltr to Congressman Meeds ltr to Corps re Sauk River dam "The studies that were undertaken as part of the comprehensive investigation were preliminary in nature and not intended to determine the feasibility of the Sauk project."
6/16/1975 Corps ltr to developer re building on an island near Marblemount Corps did not charge for floodplain elevation certificate evaluations.
7/17/1975 Series of letters re Congressman Meeds inquiry re changes in the deferred to active project list. Congressman used recycled paper for his stationary.  BCC wanted to activate the 1966 Levee and Channel Improvement project; achieve additional storage behind Baker Dam; have a study done on the feasibility of the Sauk River Dam; agreed that if Sauk not feasible then would look at Avon Bypass.  "We, as a Board, know that we are sitting on a "Time Bomb" in the Skagit Valley.
7/23/1975 Draft Corps ltr to Representative Meeds re response to BCC ltr re 4 potential flood control projects in the Skagit Valley Corps was waiting on Congressional approval of 58,000 acre feet of storage behind Upper Baker dam; expected levee project to become "active" in the near future; waiting of Senator Magnuson to request feasibility study for Sauk Dam; Avon Bypass to be kept in "deferred" status pending a change in position by the county.
8/11/1975 Corps ltr to SC Planning Dept re flood frequency elevations at mile post 59-60. 100-yr flood 200 feet and 205.5 feet at mile post 59 and 60.  1951 flood was 15-year flood downstream of Sedro-Woolley, however only about 7 year flood at mile post 59 and 60 or 193 feet and 198.5 feet.  

See also: 6/16/1975 Corps ltr to developer re building on an island near Marblemount
9/10/1975 Corps response ltr to 8/14/1975 Seattle District Recommended Additional Flood Control Storage At Upper Baker.  Also working on correspondence to reclassification of levee project from "deferred to active."  Further action on the Sauk study lies with the congressional delegation.
10/16/1975 Corps internal communication re "Reclassification of Authorized Skagit River, WA, Levee and Channel Improvement Project "The subject project (authorized in 1966) would provide flood protection to some 68,000 acres of delta flood plain at the mouth of the river. The improvements would increase the level of protection from once in 3 to 10 years, to a minimum of once in 8 years.  The authorization report noted that if the levee improvements were constructed- with the Avon Bypass, protection would be accomplished for floods with an expected recurrence of once in 35 years. To avoid a false sense of flood security, the report concluded that the levee and channel improvements should be constructed as an integral part of a basin plan for flood control, which as a minimum should include provision for construction of Avon Bypass project or upstream storage."
10/29/1975 Corps "FACT SHEET" on Skagit River Basin Document looked at Upper Baker Storage; Levee and Channel Improvement; Avon Bypass; and the Lower Sauk Project.  Characterized the Avon Bypass as "authorized in 1936 as a "make work" project.
1/7/1976
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MFR RE Skagit River Flood Fight for Dec 26 1975 high water River was predicted to reach 29 feet on Dec 27 and locals were concerned about the breaks in the levees on Cockreham levee.  Corps "plugged" five breaks in the levees at an estimated cost of $12,000.
4/1/1976
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Handwritten note by Corps Staff re one of the first strategy sessions for the 1979 project. "New survey report but do under GDM outcome -- solution to problem.  . . . Finish in 78 . . . Can't rule out non-structural"
4/22/1976
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Corps DF re Environmental Assessment of Levee Repairs After 1975 Flood Event Repairs took place on Cockreham Island.  Skagit floods "characterized by sharp rises of relatively short duration from October through March."  . . .  "The Skagit River system produces more runoff than any other river basin in the Puget Sound area."  100 year flood 266,000 cfs.  50-year flood 224,000 cfs.  Zero damage 60,000 cfs.  Present levee system with 2ft of freeboard 84,000 to 130,000 cfs or 3 to 11 year protection.  . . . Ross Dam controls about 30 percent of the basin's runoff with 120,000 acre-ft of storage space. . . . During the 1972-1973 collection period,  nearly 14,400 salmon were captured,  trucked, and  released into Baker Lake and adjoining artificial spawning beaches . They consisted  of 10,000 sockeye , 4, 000  coho, 250  chinook , and 30  chum.  In  addition, 50 steelhead trout were captured and released.  . . . The damaged areas at the   town  of Hamilton, and the  four damaged portions between Hamilton and Lyman occurred  where the  high water flow  was  either restricted or at a sharp  change in direction without adequate floodway area to handle the  resulting turbulence.  The floodwater was most destructive where the levee was breached; in some of these cases the water velocity cut a channel from the river through the vegetated bench and beyond into the agricultural area. . . . The greatest loss to fish will be the loss of eggs placed in the gravels by spawning fish prior to the flood.
6/23/1976
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Corp MFR re Skagit County Flood Insurance Study -- Corps Projects “. . .levee work was authorized via a 1965 report on the Skagit River, with the proviso that upstream storage is provided first.  Now that the Baker Lake storage project is authorized, the levee project will be revived.”
6/23/1976
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Corp MFR re Skagit County Flood Insurance Study -- Delta Flooding "Lloyd Johnson agreed, with the exception that he would like to see a more "realistic water surface profile, i.e., "a waterfall", where the floodwaters emerge through the dike area rather than a gradual drop as we had shown in our 1973 report."
9/29/1976
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USACE Work Request for Wilderness Village (Concrete) Dept of Ecology wanted Corps to re-evaluate water surface profiles based on highwater data recently recovered by the developer.  Developer had written affidavits from residents in the area who witnessed high water in 1909.
10/15/1976
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ACOE MFR RE Levee and Channel Improvements "...authorized in 1966"  . . . "includes the following elements: (a) raising low spots on riverbank levees to provide a minimum of 2 feet of freeboard, (b) -increasing top widths to a minimum of 10 feet, (c) flattening overly steep Side slopes to a maximum of 1 vertical to 2 horizontal, (d) - the-addition of riprap at critical locations, and (e) channel widening 'improvements at three locations to remove obstructions to flood flows."    . . .  " Providing a minimum of 100-year protection for urban areas will be considered with a possibility of higher protection provided by Upper Baker storage or other measures ."
1/14/1977
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Draft letters to the President from Dept. of Agriculture and the ACOE

The documents represent what happens when there are one too many agencies trying to comment on a flood project when one of the agencies doesn't know anything about the flood issue.

The Dept. of Ag stated, "In addition, the Department of the Army, in their response to the study report, pointed out that designation of the Sauk River would preclude construction of, a flood control storage project on the river. However, alternatives to the Sauk River site exist which would provide the same degree of flood protection for downstream areas.

The ACOE responded ORIGINALLY with, "We have never provided such information to them.  From a practical standpoint, approx. 40% of the unregulated flow in the lower Skagit river basin comes from the Sauk RiverLevee system's heights in the lower Skagit basin are limited by foundation conditions.  Accordingly, it is considered that there is no alternative to flood control storage on the Sauk River.  We would suggest that the above quoted sentence be deleted."  Upper level management tuned it down a little, see Insert A.
1/27/1977
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ACOE MFR RE telephonic conversation with Commissioner Jerry Mansfield re funding for the flood control project Project Manager advised Commissioner Mansfield to have local interest write their Congressmen and Senators to show a "continued interest" in the project.  He suggested writing separate letters to each representative.
1/27/1977
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ACOE MFR re telephonic meeting with Commissioner Norris One of Commissioner Norris's first official acts after having just been elected was to contact the ACOE and he noted, "that flood control for the Skagit River is one of his primary interests..."  Throughout the years and especially during his term as Mayor of Mt. Vernon Bud Norris remained true to his primary interests.
2/23/1977
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ACOE DF ("Disposition form") re meeting to review the hydrology and hydraulics information available and the needs of flood plain and flood control studies "During the discussion ... three things became clear.  (1) Existing data is not sufficient.  (2) Data needed for the flood plain study is different data than needed for the flood control study; (3) difference of opinions exist regarding the needs for the flood control study.

"Lack of capability to perform timely hydrology studies should not place limits on extent of flood protection considered and study schedule should be established to agree with District priorities and capabilities. An early meeting should be scheduled with Chief, Engineering Division to consider any needed reordering of priorities or delays of study."
4/13/1977
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ACOE MFR re: status of Skagit River Levee & Channel Improvement Study Although the hydrology study had not started yet there was no need to seek additional funds "(beyond existing $100,000)".
4/13/1977
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Ltr to County Commissioner Howard Miller fm ACOE re Skagit County Flood Insurance Study be expedited Results of Skagit River study scheduled to be completed July 1, 1978.  The entire study of the basin scheduled for completion in September 1979.
5/6/1977
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ACOE District Engineer ltr to Portland District Headquarters re:  scope and design for the Levees and Channel Improvement Project reformulation ". . . primary concern of the Levees and Channel Improvement Project should be urban flood damage reduction for Mount Vernon, Burlington and Sedro Woolley areas . . .   " . . .  During the last decade, conditions in . -the area have changed considerably and the scope and level of flood damage reduction should be reevaluated  "  . . .  "In order to accommodate this need for considering a higher level of flood protection for the urban areas, more extensive surveys, foundation investigations, hydrology, hydraulic and economic studies will be required than were previously anticipated."
5/9/1977
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ACOE MFR re: Avon Bypass Deauthorization - Meeting with Skagit County Engineer We told Mr. Johnson that we would be sending out a letter alerting local officials to the deauthorization study.  We told Mr. Johnson that the first element of work which we would be getting underway would be a survey contract to map the existing levees and provide topography for use in our hydrologic and hydraulic studiesNOTE:  This strongly suggest that the entire $4 million dollar GDM was done in two years.
5/19/1977
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ACOE ltr to local resident of Skagit Valley re: information he requested "We have completed most of our field surveys and foundation exploration and are currently developing the hydrologic model to determine the exact extent of the 100- and 10-year flood plain. As stated in the public brochure, the alternative cost estimates were not based on detailed studies, but were preliminary engineering estimates of the range of casts that could be involved for each of the alternatives."
5/19/1977
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ACOE MFR re: Skagit County Flood Insurance Study Work list for study.  "They plan (GDM Study) to do the kind of analysis of delta flooding that we rejected for the Skagit County FIS because it would cost over $100K. If their plans gel, we could ask FIA if they want us to include the analysis in the FIS. We hadn't planned to re-study the delta for the FIS.  "
5/25/1977 Executive Order 11988 Executive Order from the Carter Administration that among other things, agencies “shall consider alternatives to avoid adverse effects and incompatible development in the floodplains. ” 
6/1977 U. S. Army Corps of Engineers Report on Floods of December 1975 and January 1976 Partial report containing sections pertinent to the Skagit River.  Storm began on 29th of November and lasted to the 4th of December.  "Baker River Basin amounts to 11 percent of the Skagit river drainage." . . ."Outflow from Lake Shannon continued to increase. . .24,800 c.f.s..". . . "Without flood control regulation by Ross Dam and the Baker River Projects, the flood peak would have been about 39.9 feet (147,000 c.f.s.), 3 feet higher than the observed peak."  Third highest peak since 1940.  One of the more interesting things about this report is the areas they had to sandbag to keep the levees from failing.
6/8/1977
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ACOE DF re: All Hands Meeting to agree on the "plan of study" for the 1979 Levee and Channel Improvements Study. ". . .no significant problems are known at this time."  . . . ". . .during the last decade, urbanization has increased considerably and the scope and level of flood damage reduction should be reevaluated for the urban areas."  NOTE:  This is an amazing document that shows us that as of June 8, 1977 the GDM had not been started, yet it was published in 1979.  
6/15/1977
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ACOE MFR re: Meeting to agree on the "plan of study" for the 1979 Levee and Channel Improvements Study which took place on June 13, 1977 " . . . of the $28,000 listed for report preparation,$6,000 would be used by Drafting Section to prepare the final plates  "  . . . "Regional Planning Section in coordination with Civil Design Section will start work on design in April 1978 and complete in September 1978."  . . .  " After the design is completed about: 3 months will be required to prepare the draft General Design Memorandum and another six months to complete the final GDM for submittal to NPD. The schedule for submittal of the Draft GDM would be December 1978 and for the final GDM May 1979."
6/24/1977
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ACOE  Headquarters in Portland ltr to Seattle District Engineer re: extending Levee project upstream through Mt. Vernon and Burlington ". . .Assuming the Avon Bypass is not deauthorized, your report must include a "last added" analysis of each element of the overall protection plan of the basin.  Your proposal to extend the study scope upstream through the areas of Mount Vernon, Burlington and Sedro Woolley does create a separate set of problems  ". . . ". . . extension of the. project that far via a phase 1 report would require a significant Post Authorization Change report requiring Congressional action."
6/24/1977
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Northern Pacific Division (Portland) Headquarters ltr to Seattle District re Skagit River Levees and Channel Improvements

". . . based on a review of the authorizing document and assuming such extension is justified and desired by local interests, extension of the project that far via a phase 1 report would require a significant Post Authorization Change report requiring Congressional action." . . . An alternative course of action would be to proceed with a GDM report covering the general project area reconsidering the degree of protection to be provided. At the same time preauthorization studies could proceed on the area upstream under the authority of the PSFAW study or under Section 216. Such a procedure would permit early construction capability and at the same time cover the full flood control needs of the area."

7/11/1977
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Corps ltr to Skagit County Planning re deauthorization of the Avon Bypass project

Document contains attachments:  Avon Bypass Information Sheet; Project Deauthorization Review; Basin Map
'. . . a. Additional Flood Control at Upper Baker Project. The Upper Baker Project recently received congressional approval. The operation of the Upper Baker Dam will be modified for flood control purposes by providing up to 58,000 additional acre-feet of flood control storage by increasing reservoir drawdown in the period 1 November to 15 November of each year. Implementation of the project will not require structural modifications to existing facilities. Coupled with flood plain management, the project will increase flood protection in the Skagit River flood plain below Concrete, Washington, by decreasing peak discharges from those now experienced.  . . . b. Levee and Channel Improvements  . . . the project involves raising and strengthening existing levees downstream from Burlington and Mount Vernon, Washington, and making minor channel improvements to increase minimum channel capacities.  In conjunction with the Upper Baker Project, the levee and channel improvements project, if constructed as authorized, would increase the minimum level of flood protection in areas downstream from Burlington, Washington, from 3 years to an average recurrence interval of 11 years, with 3-foot freeboard.  Together with the projects mentioned above, the Avon Bypass Project would increase minimum flood protection from 11 to 59 years for the area downstream from Burlington. ' . . . The county has developed a comprehensive flood control plan for the Skagit Valley,  one element of which is the Avon Bypass. However, local cost sharing requirements currently are beyond the means of the county.
7/11/1977
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Corps Regional Planning Branch Work Request "Request you proceed with the following:  Hydrograph analyses at Sedro Woolley: Develop design quality 25-, 50-, 100-, and 200-year flood hydrographs for Skagit River at Sedro Woolley. These shall represent the present river condition and 74,000 acre feet of flood control storage in Baker-Lake.  Hydrologic analysis of interior drainage; Routing, combining and backwater analysis."
7/11/1977
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Corps Study Manager ltr to local Dike District Commissioner on Fir Island Corps promises to determine the social economic and environmental effects of each alternative as well as the engineering, design and cost estimates
7/18/1977
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Letter to Corps Headquarters from Congressman Lloyd Meeds re Sauk River dry dam. Asked the following questions: 1)How much flood protection would be provided; 2)Will a dry dam on the Sauk be engineeringly sound, economically justified and environmentally safe?; 3) What type of time frame needed for study.
7/22/1977
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Skagit River Levee and Channel Improvements -- Project Schedule December 1978 Draft GDM; Final GDM April 1979; June 1980 initiate Construction
7/27/1977
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Corps MFR re responses to 7/18/1977 letter from Congressman Meeds re "Dry Dam" on Sauk River A "dry dam" for FC only would be "engineeringly sound." The economic justification has not been determined in any studies and would not be available until after re :on level survey studies. We do not understand the term "environmentally safe" but do believe an "environmentally acceptable" project could be formulated.  A detailed study of the Sauk could be completed in 4 years at the cost of $400,000. Checkpoint 1 could be reached in 1-1/2 years at a cost of $150,000.
7/29/1977
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Outline for Briefing District Engineer on Skagit River Flood Problems Draft notes on what needed to be done for formal briefing to District Engineer.
8/15/1977
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Corps Draft Maps of the Avon Bypass Two sets of maps with different intake locations.
8/17/1977
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Corps "River Mile" maps March 1965 maps.
8/23/1977
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Corps Portland Division Headquarters MFR to Corps Headquarters in Washington DC re Reclassification of Avon Bypass Project Agreed with Seattle District that Avon Bypass should be reclassified from deferred to active.  "... Avon Bypass Project authorized by the 1936 Flood Control Act would be constructed as a part of an overall Skagit Valley flood control plan. The authorized project includes construction of the by-pass in the vicinity of Avon as well as construction of upstream levees in the vicinity of Sedro Woolley. and Burlington.NOTE:  As of this date studies needed for project had not yet began.
8/31/1977 Corps Letter to County re studies of the Levee & Channel Improvement Project. There has been extensive development in the Burlington-Sedro Woolley area since our flood control studies in 1964, and flood protection for this area now appears to be urgently needed.
12/1978 USACE Levee Improvement Study Studygram December 1978 Analysis of proposals to improve levees from the 3-Bridge Corridor to the delta for the 1979 Levee Improvement proposals that failed at the polls.  One alternative, 3D, would provide, 29,700 acres of land with rural protection (50-year), and 22,000 acres of land would be provided urban protection (100-year). The project would prevent 100-year Skagit floods from overflow to the Samish. However, flooding would still occur due to Samish River flows on 14,500 acres. The Nookachamps-Clear Lake area would experience an increase in the 100-year water surface elevation of about 4.5 feet. 
See also: 1979 Levee Improvement Project Historical Index
12/06/1979 Corps Letter to Skagit County Commissioners discussing future of flood control after voter rejection “You indicated that the voters rejected Proposition 2 on flood control because they were reluctant to approve a raise in taxes, were dissatisfied with the proposed plan, or a combination of both.”
1/17/1980

MFR re changes needed to 1979 Levee Improvement Project (GDM)

MFR documents changes needed to the 1979 Corps GDM for the 1979 Levee Improvement Project
1/17/1980

Colonel Moraski Ltr re winding down of 1979 Levee Improvement Project

Colonel Moraski Letter to Headquarters re the winding down of the 1979 Levee Project due to local voter rejection of the project.
9/8/1980

MFR re meeting in Skagit County re Floodway Designations

MFR documents 9/3/80 meeting in Skagit County re Floodway Designations. Impacts of filling in Burlington on Port property discussed. Burlington worried about “no-growth mandate.” Suggestion was made to let the Flood Control Advisory Committee come up with floodway designation. Corps concerned about filling around the Sterling Hill area. Burlington not sensitive to the filling problem.
12/5/1980

Ltr to Corps from FEMA re Floodway Designations

Letter states probable failure points (PFP) not reliable for designating floodways. Decision made to use 1972 overtopping of entire levee system.
12/10/1980

MFR re Floodway Designation Methodology

MFR documents discussions between Corps, FEMA and Skagit County re proper method of designating floodways. 1972 study vs. 1000 foot setback from levees discussed.
5/27/1981

MFR re Floodway Designation help from HEC

MFR discusses “density” floodway study being financed by FEMA and getting help from HEC in California on floodway problem for lower Skagit Basin.
6/8/1981

Ltr to Mt. Vernon re Level of Protection for Urban Areas

Letter explained to Ron Maynock, Mt. Vernon Building Official, current levees only provided 11-17 year flood protection. 100 yr protection for Urban areas insufficient for flood control projects and Corps must use SPF (Standard Project Flood or 500 yr protection).
6/9/1981

MFR re Floodway Designations

MFR documents discussions between Corps and FEMA re floodway designations. Equal conveyance method in lower valley politically unacceptable. FEMA not considering lost storage effects in FIS. Density floodways considered. 40 acre lot size in County could accomplish same thing as density floodway. Corps needed more detailed topography. Potential development between Burlington and Mt. Vernon could eliminate floodway and cause damming effect upstream. Suggested using “C-10” language in FIS.
1/19/1987 Handwritten Notes by Brown and Caldwell Employee for Comprehensive Flood Control Management Plan (CFCMP) Handwritten notes (HWN) include notes that “whole county plan - highest priority problems” and “no modeling in plans - not lots of money & effort”.
2/25/1987 Skagit County Public Works Contract Activation Letter to Brown and Caldwell for Comprehensive Flood Control Management Plan (CFCMP) Work Letter to Brown & Caldwell with “executed copy” of the scope of work Brown & Caldwell did for the 1989 Skagit River CFCMP.   Includes line on last page of “Computer costs at $10.00 per hour.”
4/19/1988

Conversation Record re Reactivation of 1979 Levee Project

The document memorializes conversation between Corps and Mt. Vernon City Engineer John Wiseman re reactivation of the 1979 Levee Improvement Project. What is somewhat amazing about this document is that 17 years later two Skagit County men would be at the same organization meeting receiving an award for a Historical Project and we still do not have a flood control project. Corps wanted resolutions from County and Cities requesting reactivation of levee project.
6/7/1988

MFR re meeting on reactivation of 1979 Levee Project

MFR announces a meeting to discuss reactivation of the 1979 Levee Project as well as a meeting with the City of Mt. Vernon to discuss a project just for the City of Mt. Vernon.
7/7/1988

MFR re meeting with City of Mt. Vernon

MFR documents meeting with City of Mt. Vernon. Levees raised and strengthen since middle 1970’s. Blamed the “Hill People” for the overwhelming vote against the 1979 Levee Project. Truth of the matter is that even the City of Burlington voted against it. City officials appeared to be overwhelmed by the complexity of flood control projects. Any project to protect just downtown Mt. Vernon would have adverse impacts in other areas of the river.
7/28/1988

Conversation Record re Mt. Vernon request to reactivate 1979 project

Documents conversation wherein City of Mt. Vernon decided to ask Corps to reactivate the 1979 Levee Project. Corps volunteers to draft letter for Mt. Vernon. (See 9/22/88 letter from Mt. Vernon)
9/29/1988

MFR re meeting with Mt. Vernon re reactivation of 1979 Levee Project

Corps attended meeting wherein Mt. Vernon officially asked Corps to reactivate the 1979 Levee Project. Told City Engineer that the earliest they could start would be 1991. Corps talked to County Engineer who stated that the County preferred to have residents “push them” into requesting flood control project.
7/18/1989 USACE MFR Re: Skagit River Flood Control Study “This led into a discussion of the capabilities of the existing levees on the Skagit. In 1975, the last major flood on the Skagit which reached flows at the town of Mount Vernon of 130,000 cfs, levees were not overtopped but the flood stage of the river was within 6" of the top of the main levee system at Mount Vernon. Since 1975, Skagit County has improved the levees downstream from Mount Vernon protecting agricultural land. The levees are built to a height equivalent to the water surface elevation of the 50-year flood event. They have something in the neighborhood of a 25-year level protection if you consider a need for freeboard.”
5/31/1991

MFR re amounts of material "dredged" out of the Skagit River

This MFR documents the historical “dredging” performed by the Corps. In reality the Corps never really dredged anything. The process was called “side-casting” which put the sand obtained from the bottom of the river up on the river banks where it proceeded to be washed back into the river during the next freshet.
8/27/1993

MFR re cumulative impacts of fill from County BNRR bridge area project

MFR clearly documents the Corps refusal to do a cumulative impact analysis of fill in the floodplain.
4/6/1994 Seattle District USACE Public Testimony, Re: Burlington Land Use Practices “One example of poor flood plain management is the Gages Slough floodway in Burlington. Historically this floodway has seen flows from 30,000 to 60,000 cfs with significant flooding in Burlington and out to Padilla Bay and Samish Bay. This floodway has been blocked by road fills, malls and Interstate 5. This development will cause significant damages to itself and increased damage to the rest of Burlington. The current plan recommends an Urban Growth Area (UGA) right across the upstream end of this floodway. ... There is significant pressure to increase the tax base of the cities and the county by developing the flood plain.  Hopefully this leadership will be enlightened and visionary enough not to recommend any further development within the flood plain.”
2/29/1996 Corps Ltr to Tribal Representative Wasserman First suggestion that flood control should be combined with ecosystem restoration.  Past study efforts have failed because of the high cost of desired project features and/or studies.
4/16/1996 Memorandum for Record (MFR), responses to questions from Skagit County.. "Literature review (general). This needs to be the first task completed, and a report should be generated to illustrate scoping changes as a result of findings. Existing studies should be utilized as much as possible."  . . .  U.S. Fish and Wildlife. How is this report utilized?  There appears to be some duplication between this report and the FWCA report. Part of the confusion is because there are two units of FWS that are being dealt with, the Fisheries Research Office (FRO), and the Ecological Services Office. FRO or their agent (most likely the Skagit System Cooperative) would conduct the fish studies.
4/16/1996  Skagit Flood Control & Ecosystem Restoration Study (AKA GI Study) Coordination Meeting Minutes Official Corps document showing the name of the Skagit Project as including "Ecosystem Restoration". 

“The primary purpose of the meeting was to clarify Corps’ understandings about sponsor’s expectations and then begin working on the study details. Before the Corps of Engineers works with the County to rescope the study, we need to clearly understand what the Local Sponsor(s) hope to get out of the study/project process, including both flood control and ecosystem restoration features. How much are potential Local Sponsors willing to commit to this study? How much are the Local Sponsors willing to pay for “the project”?”
4/17/1996 MFR SUBJECT: MEETINGS ON SKAGIT FLOOD CONTROL STUDY

These minutes show the wish list of the participants on that day.  Among many other things that have not been accomplished are the following:  A 3 year study;  A study cost of $2.5 to $3.0 M; Look at relocation of highway 20; Look at incorporating other purposes such as recreation trails; Consider up river communities; Don’t recommend a project so large it requires a vote of the citizens of Skagit Co- stay within the limit of the Commissioner’s authority.  Now why wouldn't anyone want the people of Skagit County to vote on the project?

8/1/1996 Risk-Based Analysis for Flood Damage Reduction Studies Corps of Engineers manual that "describes and provides procedures for risk" of "exposure to a chance of injury or loss" "and uncertainty" "in choice of the hydrologic, hydraulic, and economic functions" "for Corps of Engineers flood damage reduction studies."
10/10/1996 USACE MFR Re: Skagit River Levee Repairs “As long as any repairs we make to the Skagit River levees replace them in kind, we comply with the standard. If we raise the levees or add material to their riverbank or landward sides, then in my opinion, we must conduct an analysis to comply with the standard.”

See also:  FEMA letter re denial of appeal filed on Burlington FIS
10/15/1996 Wynn Letter to Leonard Halverson "I also realize that for every change man makes to a river's levee system, a change in the river may result."
8/21/1997 Skagit Fisheries Investigation Feasibility Study It has been inferred that the massive loss of slough habitat in the lower Skagit River has reduced overwintering productivity of the river and placed increasing pressure on the few remaining sloughs.  A survey should be completed to quantify the amount of slough habitat currently open to fish passage along the project area and to quantify any further loss of slough habitat due to the proposed project.  If  losses occur beyond the current condition, engineering solutions to retain adequate fish passage should be devised.
2/6/2002 Scope of Work: Geomorphology and Sediment Transport Study of Skagit River Flood Hazard Mitigation Project “Physical modifications to the channel and floodplain may interrupt or change ongoing geomorphic processes.  Similarly, geomorphic processes may affect the function and effectiveness of the proposed flood hazard mitigation project.  The geomorphic assessment and sediment transport analysis will provide a basis for evaluating the potential interactions between ongoing geomorphic processes and each alternative for flood hazard mitigation.”
4/17/2002 Features of Basic Skagit River Damage Flood Reduction Alternatives (No Mitigation) The existing levees will be removed and setback.  Existing levee maintenance standards will be followed with regular mowing of the levees.”
7/9/2002 News Release Showing Partnership between Corps of Engineers and Nature Conservancy Interesting to note there was no mention of the Baker River Dams which later the Nature Conservancy worked to make sure no additional storage would be made available for flood reduction impacts on the landowners along the Skagit River.
7/9/2002 Series of e-mails expressing concern over TNC/Corps Joint Press Release “If that is not possible we can do damage control with Seattle City Light (Ross, etc.) and Puget Sound Energy (who operates the Baker River projects) but it benefits neither USACE nor TNC to create the impression that we are going to conspire to dictate operational changes to dams neither of us owns.
11/20/2002 MFR for USACE Re: Policy and legal issues created by a diversion alternative that directs floodwater to the Padilla Bay National Estuarine Research Reserve (PBNERR) and CZMA The purpose of this memorandum is to discuss whether the designations of a Marine Protected Area and a National Estuarine Research Reserve impose protections on Padilla Bay that would be relevant to a diversion alternative which directs floodwaters to PBNERR. After careful review, it is the legal opinion of this office that the designations enjoyed by Padilla Bay present significant legal issues with regard to the viability of the proposed diversion alternative.
See also: 12/20/2002 County e-mail killing diversion channel efforts
2/28/2003 [GI Study/Skagit River Feasibility Study] Project Update E-mail from Seattle District

E-mail chain explaining Corps process.

“Mitigation might also be required under the Endangered Species Act or the Clean Water Act. If the mitigation features are necessary to get the permit or concurrence they might be shifted into the basic project features account. The reason is that the project cannot legally be built without these features.”

See also: 12/20/2002 County e-mail killing diversion channel efforts
5/2/2003 May 2, 2003 Skagit River Feasibility Study Status Report “Two weeks of computer run time, together with verification, will be required to then produce the new flood inundation maps for 10-, 25-, 50-, 75-, 100-, 250-, and 500-year events. With the lead hydraulic engineer scheduled for a conference in Portland next week, we anticipate having the existing condition model outputs available during the last week in May.”

That's May of 2003.  It's now November of 2009.  Where are the flood inundation maps?
5/15/2003 Pentac Environmental Memo, Re: Draft Scope of Work for the Phase II of the Geomorphology and Sediment Transport Study of Skagit River Flood Hazard Mitigation Project Skagit County, Washington Update on geomorphology study.
6/6/2003 June 6, 2003 Skagit River Feasibility Study Executive Committee Status Report “The existing condition hydraulic models (UNET and FLO-2D) have undergone independent technical review (West Consultants, Inc). Levees throughout the system were recently field inspected and reanalyzed based on new survey data, resulting in significant changes in probable levee failure and non-failure elevations. This revised information has been inputted to the hydraulic models. Accordingly, new inundation maps for the 10-, 25-, 50-, 75-, 100-, 250-, and 500-year events are now being formatted and are scheduled to be completed this week.”
12/11/2003 October 2003 Skagit River Flood Control Presentation
“What If...
• Only the authorized amount of flood control space had been available in the dams.
• This storm had been preceded by a normal summer/fall, rather than a drought.
THEN
• The dams would have filled close to the top early in the storm.
• Flooding would have been nearly as bad as if the dams had not been there at all.”
1/5/2004

Hydrology Presentation re: Skagit River

While this presentation would be a lot more accurate if they were using the 80 years of gage records at The Dalles in Concrete instead of the Stewart “estimates” it is a very good presentation on the seriousness of the Skagit River flood issue.
12/01/2004 Skagit County Public Works Director Letter to Corps of Engineers Seattle District, Re: Skagit River Flood Reduction Project Request to Corps "to work within the framework of the FERC NEPA process to meet its NEPA responsibilities regarding the flood control elements of the settlement agreement" and independent review of the Pacific International Engineering (PIE) hydrology & hydraulics (H&H) model of the Skagit River.
1/3/2006 Risk Analysis for Flood Damage Reduction Studies "This regulation provides guidance on the evaluation framework to be used in Corps of Engineers flood damage reduction studies."
2/18/2006 Seattle District Corps of Engineers Press Release Once again, no money in Corps budget for Skagit County.
12/11/2006 Corps of Engineers Levee Certification Requirements Document addresses questions which have arisen as to the policy governing levee certification by USACE for the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), particularly as regards the application of risk analysis.
1/24/2007 Skagit River Flood Damage Reduction Study Presentation Presentation in Adobe Acrobat PDF by Linda Smith, Project Manager and Ted Perkins, Hydraulic Engineer regarding Skagit River Basin hydrology and options for further flood control.
2/22/2007

Skagit River Basin, Washington Revised Flood Insurance Study - Draft Hydraulics Summary

Latest Corps of Engineers Hydraulic Study for FEMA Flood Insurance Maps.

2/27/2007

Presentation by Col. Mike McCormick to Skagit County On February 27, 2007 the new District Commander Colonel Mike McCormick came to town with his Corps staff and the staff pretty much gave the attached presentation.  It was perhaps staffs most embarrassing performance to date.  They didn't even know the name of the Skagit Project.  (See page 5) (See also 4/16/96 entry above.) Staff totally rejected any more work on the hydrology issue stating flatly, "We're done with that."  "We're using our hydrology."  To date they have spent $6,600,000 and have accomplished almost nothing and they want another 3-4 million dollars to complete their study over the next 7 years.  (See pages 10-12)
8/9/2007 Skagit River Revised Flood Insurance Study
Levee Scenario Discussion
PowerPoint presentation (converted to PDF) by Ted Perkins, Hydraulic Engineer for the Army Corps of Engineers, Seattle District
2/14/2008 Corps of Engineers Seattle District Flood Risk Assessment 5-page discussion of the flood risk for the Pacific Northwest and notes that, "Heavy, intense rainfall is the primary driver of flooding. Snow melt, from rain on snow, does not increase the risk of major flooding, but can affect the severity."
5/01/2008 Skagit River Basin, Washington Revised Flood Insurance Study Hydraulics Summary

“The simulations performed represent a fixed bed analysis so erosion and sedimentation in the floodplain are not modeled. Culverts under roads are also not modeled. The reason that culverts are not modeled for overland flow is that the capacities of the culverts are small compared with the overbank discharge. The FLO-2D model does not contain any sea dike failure scenarios and do not account for pump stations or any other flood fighting techniques to reduce the flood damage.”

8/2008 Corps and County Flood Study Cost

Listing of where our money has been spent.

8/18/2008 Skagit River Flood Damage Reduction Study Preliminary Measures Presentation

PDF of 123-slide presentation to August 2008 Skagit County Flood Control Zone District Advisory Committee explaining potential options to reduce the Skagit River Flood Risk.  Video is also available from Skagit21.

10/31/2008 Letter to County from Corps re: financial info on GI Study

Shows what the Corps spent their time and money on during 4th quarter fiscal year 2008.

11/21/2008 Col. Wright Letter to LJK, Re: Comments on Corps GI Process

Thank you for taking the time to provide us with your comments on the Skagit River General Investigation Preliminary Measures. The team is evaluating all of the comments and responses will be posted. . . . The team intends to use the comments in refining the 37 preliminary measures and combining the best measures into alternatives and a recommended plan.

6/2009  Skagit River H&H Technical Review Summary An Army Corps of Engineers Seattle District summary of Skagit River Hydrology & Hydraulics.
6/17/2009  Corps of Engineers Historic Discharge Position Summary “The City of Burlington has stated that the accepted discharges of the historic floods are statistically extremely unlikely. Statistically, this would be all the more reason to include them, as we are defining the magnitude of the expected extreme events. However, we are not just dealing with statistics; we are dealing with a large river and the weather systems that drive its flood peaks. This means we have climate cycles, such as the Pacific Decadal Osolation, El Nino, and climate change, which influence our flood events. Other rivers in the Pacific Northwest also experienced floods of record during the same time period as the historic Skagit River floods.”
6/17/2009 Skagit River Flood Damage Reduction Study Hydrology Background

Overview of Corps of Engineers Seattle District's attempts to address Skagit River hydrology.

7/2/2009 MFR: Skagit Basin Hydrology Technical Discussion “USGS notes that there is potential for inaccuracy for these floods. Data from USGS is accepted by the Corps without corps reproducing the same data.
7/10/2009 Memo Re: NHC/PIE investigation Recommendations “We find that the PIE and NHC investigations into High Water Marks (HWM’s), survey results, and HEC-RAS modeling provide less than compelling evidence that the USGS historic flood peaks should be adjusted downward. The following suggestions describe how the investigations could be strengthened. It should be noted that these suggestions, if adopted, may improve the quality of the results, however they may not result in compelling evidence that would justify revising the four historical flood peaks.
7/24/2009 Draft Executive Order of Obama Administration for Floodplain Management “Floods have caused a greater loss of life and property and have devastated more families and communities in the United States than all other natural hazards. Despite the expenditure of billions of tax dollars trying to manage floodwaters and guide wise use of floodplains, flood damages continue to increase and every year billions are spent in response to flood disasters. In addition, natural floodplains contain numerous inherent values that are of great importance to the Nation. The federal government must therefore strengthen its commitment to reducing the loss of life and property caused by floods and to protecting and restoring the natural resources and functions of floodplains.”
8/2009 Skagit River Flood Risk Management and Ecosystem Restoration Project Feasibility Study (aka GI Study) Feasibility Scoping Meeting Read-Ahead Report Documentation of “technical studies and findings of the Skagit River Flood Risk Management and Ecosystem Restoration Feasibility Study ... to study flood risks in the Skagit River Basin and to evaluate the feasibility and justification of alternative flood risk management alternatives.” The report also “evaluates opportunities to pursue ecosystem restoration.”
9/2009 Skagit River Flood Risk Management and Ecosystem Restoration Project Feasibility Study Project Management Plan - DRAFT Revised September 2009
(aka G.I. Study)
“The purpose of the evaluation and screening of measures is to methodically narrow down the range of individual project elements so that funding and analysis is focused on those measures that have the highest potential to qualify as a Federal interest. A Federal interest for flood risk management measures is determined by a positive benefit-to-cost ratio, environmental acceptability, engineering feasibility, acceptable risk, and acceptable socio-economic impacts.”
9/15/2009 USACE Levee Safety Program - Presentation to NORFMA 2009 43-slide presentation on the history of levees and Corps of Engineers plans to inspect, screen and certify levees.
9/16/2009 Agreement for Flood Control and Replacement Power Between Corps of Engineers & Puget Sound Energy (Amendment at Amendment No.1 Agreement For Flood Control And Replacement Power) “Puget shall operate the Upper Baker Development to provide (i) 16,000 acre feet of flood control storage space between October 15 and March 1 and (ii) an additional 58,000 acre feet of storage space between November 1 and March 1 of each operating year during the Tenn. Such flood control operations shall be at the direction of the Corps on terms and conditions to be mutually agreed upon by the Corps and Puget.”
10/14/2009 Letter re: Request to Revise Water Control Manual “A final EIS for the Baker River Hydroelectric Project was issued by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission on September 8, 2006. As noted in the EIS, the Corps cannot take advantage of any earlier storage provisions in the license or additional storage beyond that contained in H. Doc 95-149 (as authorized by P.L. 89-298) until it completes a study and receives Congressional authorization for taking such additional action (see EIS at 3-52).” 
10/08/2009 Amendment No.1 Agreement For Flood Control And Replacement Power (An amendment to Agreement for Flood Control and Replacement Power Between Corps of Engineers & Puget Sound Energy) “Puget shall operate the Upper Baker Development to provide (i) 16,000 acre feet of flood control storage space between October 15 and March I and (ii) an additional 58,000 acre feet of storage space between November 15 and March 1 of each operating year during the Term. Such flood control operations shall be at the direction of the Corps on terms and conditions to be mutually agreed upon by the Corps and Puget. It shall be the intent of this Agreement to comply with the flood control objectives specified in House Document No. 95-149, while minimizing spill at the Upper Baker Development to the extent that it is feasible. ” 
9/29/2010 Skagit GI Field Tour Documents Many public employees and consultants went “to familiarize the PDT [Project Development Team] with the areas where the proposed flood reduction measures and restoration activities are located.”  A proposed funding schedule is on page two and proposed projects is on page three. 
2011 National Corps of Engineers Investigations Budget Skagit GI Study is next from the bottom of page 4.
3/2011
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Skagit River Basin Skagit River Flood Risk Management Study Draft Report Hydraulic Technical Documentation “This report documents the work conducted for the Skagit River Flood Risk Management Feasibility Study to develop hydraulic computer models and to establish existing without project hydraulic conditions.  . . .  The emphasis in this report is on hydraulic modeling for the lower Skagit River downstream from Sedro-Woolley. The damage reaches that are evaluated start at Sedro-Woolley and extend down to the mouth at Skagit Bay.  . . .  Revisions to the hydraulic models used for the Flood Risk Management Study and preparation of the present 2011 update to the Hydraulic Technical Documentation were carried out by Northwest Hydraulic Consultants Inc. (NHC) under contract to the local sponsor, Skagit County (contract C20080424, Task Assignment 4, authorized 15 October 2009).” 

Report also discusses impacts of bridge debris, potential levee breaches and hydraulic model calibration & validation.  Page 37 of this report (page 41 of the PDF) is devoted to debris loads at the BNSF RR Bridge.
4/11/2011 Congressman Rick Larsen Letter to Commanding General US Army Corps of Engineers, Re: Cease Work Order on Skagit GI Study I have serious concerns about reports that work on the Skagit River General Investigation Study (Skagit G.I.) has been stopped. To abruptly halt forward progress on the Skagit G.I. without exhausting every option available is irresponsible to the mission of protecting lives and property. The Skagit G.I. has taken over thirteen years and has endured numerous scheduled completion date revisions to get to the point where it is today. The Skagit community cannot afford another delay. For more than a decade the people of the Skagit Valley have looked to the Corps to provide the basis on which they can begin completing flood control projects that will increase safety for those living in the Skagit River valley.”
4/15/2011
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Flooding in Western Washington: The Connection to Atmospheric Rivers “This study utilizes multiple decades of daily streamflow data gathered in four major watersheds in western Washington to determine the meteorological conditions most likely to cause flooding in those watersheds. ...  The flooding on the four watersheds occurred during the landfall of ARs [Atmospheric Rivers] within the warm sectors of extratropical cyclones that were accompanied by warm advection, lower-tropospheric temperatures 4-6°C above normal, strong low-level water vapor fluxes from over the Pacific, and low-level moist-neutral stability. The enhanced onshore vapor fluxes and weak static stability provided a favorable environment for orographic precipitation enhancement across the region’s steep terrain. More generally, all peak daily flows that exceeded a 5-year return period on non-consecutive days in each of the four basins of interest between WY1980-2009 were associated with landfalling ARs.”

One of those basins of interest was the Sauk River.
4/26/2011 Mississippi River Commission Information Paper: Birds Point-New Madrid Floodway “The call for floodways marked a necessary turnaround in the engineering policy practiced prior to the 1927 flood. The flood had forced that change, but even in the wake of its widespread devastation a controversy emerged over the reality of actually implementing the floodways. Residents within the floodways were ill-prepared for that reality, which assured that private land once protected by levees would now be subject to inundation to reduce flood stages elsewhere in the valley. Under the Jadwin plan, the Birds Point-New Madrid floodway was designed to do just that.”
5/2011 Seattle District Hydraulics & Hydrology MFR on Skagit River Levee Repairs Analysis of the Summer 2011 Skagit River levee repairs currently being photographically documented.  Notes that fish habitat creation with LWD (large woody debris) must not interfere with the 25-year flood protection the levee system currently provides.
7/13/2011 Army Corps of Engineers News Release: Corps Repairing 2.5 Miles of Damaged Levees Along Skagit River “The Skagit River levee system is bustling with activity these days as the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers repairs two and a half miles worth of levees at 27 individual sites, within five diking districts, at a cost of approximately $8 million.”
7/29/2011 Federal Register: Notice of Intent To Prepare a Draft Environmental Impact Statement for the Skagit River General Investigation Study Notice begins on bottom right of 1st page of PDF.  Great summary of the goal, alternatives and impacts of the Skagit River General Investigation/GI Study.  “The goal of this project is to identify the National Economic Development (NED) plan, the flood-risk management alternative that provides the maximum net economic benefits. In accordance with USACE policy, minimization of ecosystem, cultural, and socio-economic impacts will be a significant project consideration (Reference: ER 1105–2– 100, Planning Guidance Notebook).”
8/4/2011 Skagit River General Investigation - NEPA Scoping Meeting “The purpose of the GI is to better identify the problems and opportunities that exist to relieve flooding and reduce flood risks and to develop a flood-risk management plan. A DEIS is being prepared because of the potential for impacts on environmental resources, particularly salmonid habitat, and the intense public interest already demonstrated in addressing the flooding problems of the Skagit River.

“Public involvement will be sought during scoping, plan formulation, and preparation of the DEIS in accordance with National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) procedures. A public scoping process has been started: (1) To clarify which issues appear to be major public concerns, (2) to identify any information sources that might be available to analyze and evaluate impacts, and (3) to obtain public input and determine acceptability for the range of measures to be included within potential alternatives.”
8/10/2011 Skagit River General Investigation Study: NEPA Scoping Meeting Agenda of the Skagit River GI Study Scoping Meeting.
1/31/2012
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Congressman Larsen Press Release: Larsen, Skagit County to Army Corps: Commit to Funding the Skagit GI The Skagit Valley community is united behind the Skagit G.I. which provides the basis for comprehensive flood control projects. The Skagit G.I. has been progressing for more than fourteen years, funded primarily by Congressional appropriations each eligible year.  With a long history of devastating floods, the communities along the river have been looking to construct flood control projects that will increase safety for those living in the Skagit River valley. The Corps itself has recognized how important this G.I. study is.  Through the Reset Initiative the Corps gave the Skagit G.I. a much needed higher priority level to bring about its completion in a fiscally responsible manner.  An interruption to the forward progress of the study due to a stoppage in funding would be a disservice to the residents of the Skagit Valley.  Less than $4 million is needed to complete the investigation.  Allowing the Skagit G.I. funding to lapse would waste the $6.5 million of federal funds already invested in addition to the matching funds contributed by the local community.  
     

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Baker River Dam Storage Documents

All documents in this section show records of investigations and attitudes towards providing flood control storage behind Upper and Lower Baker Dams over the years.
 
Date Title Summary 
1/23/1950

Letter to Puget Power from Corps of Engineers

Corps of Engineers felt flood control storage in Lake Shannon was "worthwhile" looking into.  Methods suggested was to either raise Lower Baker or to lower lake level.  Important to remember is that Upper Baker Dam was not constructed until 1959.
2/15/1966

MFR re: Corps Investigation of Existing Baker Sites

Corps approximates that Baker River dams could not provide 100 yr protection.  Would require 90,000 acre feet to control 200,000 cfs flow.  However, could control 50 yr flood (180,000 cfs) by providing 50,000 acre feet of storage.  Would require considerable study to determine power loss.
9/21/1967

Corps Memorandum re Lower Baker River Storage Projects

Corps admits investigation into Lower Baker dam storage has only been "on a very preliminary basis".  Gross storage capacity of Lake Shannon 160,000 acre feet.  142,400 ac ft being used for power production.  Upper Baker dam gross storage is 298,000 ac ft and utilizes 220,000 ac ft for power production.  Important to note is that at this time only Upper Baker provided 16,000 ac ft of storage however both dams had major impacts on flood flows.  Corps recognizes that 28,500 ac ft of storage was available behind Lower Baker in Lake Shannon for flood control.  Flood prevention benefits would far exceed the cost of power reductions.
12/13/1967

Corps Memorandum re Preliminary Report on Baker River Regulation

Corps investigated 3 scenarios.  1-drafting Upper Baker to 720.6 ft to provide 16,000 ac ft of storage.  2-drafting Upper Baker to 709.8 ft to provide additional 50,000 ac ft of storage (current requirement 707.9 by Nov. 15th).  3-drafting Upper Baker to 701.3 to provide additional 84,000 ac ft of storage.  In all 3 scenarios Lower Baker was kept at elev. 437 which is 1 1/2 ft below being full.  "In all cases, with the exception of 2 years in #3, Upper Baker could refill by the end of April."
7/23/75

Corps draft letter to Rep. Meeds re Flood Control Projects

Corps recommended additional 58,000 ac ft of storage.  Trade offs of power generation for flood control are economically and environmentally feasible.
9/15/76

Corps Draft "Read Ahead" for Meeting with Rep. Meeds

Documents 1975 flood event damages at $3,247,000.  Had Upper Baker additional storage (more than 16,000 ac ft) been in effect at that time, could have saved taxpayers $520,000.
6/1977

Partial Corps Report on 1975 Flood Event

Documents Upper, Lower Baker Dam and Ross Dam operation during 1975 flood event.  Ross Lake stored 104,000 ac ft or 87% of allocated 120,000 ac ft.  Baker Lake was 19 ft below full pool at start of flood event.  Lake Shannon was 1.5 ft below full pool.  In 14 hrs Lake Shannon filled.  At peak of flood PSPL was dumping 24,800 cfs into Skagit.  Storage used in Baker Lake was 53,900 ac ft or 37,900 ac ft more then they were required to do.
7/11/1977

Corps Letter to Skagit County

Congress authorized an additional 58,000 ac ft of storage behind Upper Baker dam.  Would reduce flooding during "major events".  Ltr also addresses possible "deauthorization" of the Avon By-Pass project and the possible construction of a levee improvement project which would give lower valley 11 year protection with 3 feet of freeboard.
9/9/1977

Corps Memorandum re Additional Storage

Documents SCL plans for Copper Creek Dam and possible dams on Newhalum and Thunder Creek.  States that PSPL had no plans to provide additional storage behind Baker River Upper Baker or Lower Baker dams. 
11/22/1978 Baker Lake Reservoir Flood Control Negotiations Ltr and Notes from Skagit County Engineer to Skagit County Commissioners Negotiations are faultering (sic) over the method of reimbursement to Puget Power for power loss due to this agreed draw-down. Puget Power is indicating to the Corps that they want reimbursement in power, rather than in financial remuneration. This in turn involves Bonneville Power Administration in a very complicated 3-party negotiation process.”  PDF also includes notes from and about the Corps of Engineers' role in Baker River dam storage.
2/17/1983 Corps of Engineers Seattle District Presentation to February 17, 1983 Skagit River Flood Control Committee on Dam Storage Slides showing how Army Corps of Engineers operated Upper Baker Dam and Ross Dam in December 1980 flood. “Dams provide flood damage reduction.  But dams cannot eliminate the possibility of flooding.
8/14/2001

Informational Briefing

Document provided talking points and concerns re informational briefing on Skagit River project.  Corps main concern on FERC Relicensing process was that they had limited funds $300,000 to devote to studying Upper Baker storage and FERC process.  Corps felt risk was that BPA could pull out of funding flood storage and that FERC could delete current storage requirement.  20 yr compensation agreement with PSE expired in 2000.
5/8/2002 Biological Assessment of Proposed Interim Conservation Measures for Puget Sound Chinook Salmon Pending Relicensing

Construction of an extensive system of levees and revetments, in combination with flood control by the Skagit and Baker Projects has allowed continued development of the former floodplain. Land uses such as agriculture, urban and residential development, and construction of infrastructure (roads, bridges, drainage systems) have permanently altered the valley landscape. The operation and maintenance of existing flood control facilities by Skagit County is dependent on flood control operations by the upstream hydroelectric projects.

3/7/2003 Tribal Concerns about the Reanalysis of Storage in Upper Baker “Larry Wasserman … expressed concern that the Corps would only look at the economic/flood benefits in making our recommendation and not at the potential environmental impacts.”
5/21/2003 Responses to Questions Posed by Mr. Mike Sato on May 2, 2003 Regarding the Status of the Skagit River Flood Damage Reduction and Ecosystem Feasibility Study “A very preliminary assessment was completed in April and has demonstrated that there could be additional flood control benefit that could be provided with additional storage at the Baker River reservoirs.  However, the assumptions of the analysis need to be refined, and the proposed modifications better defined before the study proceeds to a full hydraulic and economic benefit analysis as well as undertaking NEPA scoping and environmental evaluation, as well as preparing engineering design modifications and cost estimates.”
5/30/2003 Corps of Engineers Responses To Questions Relating to Implementation of Additional Flood Control Storage at Baker River Hydroelectric Project, FERC No. 2150 “In any event, a decision document submitted by the Corps’ Seattle District office would be required to support the recommendation for authorization for the Corps to operate Upper Baker for additional flood control storage. This decision document would have to demonstrate a Federal interest in additional flood control storage at Upper Baker ... [and thus would] have to demonstrate that the recommended plan is economically justified (i.e., flood damage reduction monetary benefits exceed project costs). The recommended plan would have to be demonstrated to be consistent with protecting the Nation’s environment, pursuant to national environmental statutes, applicable Executive Orders and other Federal planning requirements.”
6/9/2003 Scope of Work for Skagit River Flood Damage Reduction Feasibility Study’s Baker River Dams Storage Evaluation Research into finding maximum utilization of Baker River Dams’ flood storage capabilities.
5/28/2004 Draft Biological Opinion for Endangered Species Act Section 7 Consultation for the Baker River Hydroelectric Project (FERC No. 2150).  NOAA Fisheries Consultation No. 2002/01040.

Dam storage is not likely to jeopardize the continued existence of the Puget Sound chinook salmon.

8/9/2004 Seattle District Corps of Engineers Letter to FERC, Re: Baker River Project, Project Number P-2150-033 Corps requests "to be a cooperating agency in the preparation of the environmental documentation" of the Baker River Project, Project Number P-2150-033.
11/24/2004 Baker River Hydroelectric Project, FERC No. 2150 -Baker River Hydroelectric Project Comprehensive Settlement Agreement

The Settlement Agreement is a negotiated compromise worked out among the parties concerning extensive protection, mitigation and enhancement measures for the Project that address aquatic, terrestrial, recreational, cultural, and other resources. The Settlement Agreement reflects a consensus of all active participants in the relicensing, in regard to a wide variety of issues identified through the alternative licensing process.

12/21/2004 Army Corps of Engineers reply to FERC Comprehensive Settlement Agreement

"Without the completion and Congressional approval of the GI study, the Corps does not have the authority to regulate any additional storage at Upper or Lower Baker Dam."  "...The Corps considers this section of Article 107 as a place holder for possible future action."

12/22/2004 Washington State Department of Fish & Wildlife reply to FERC Comprehensive Settlement Agreement "We have participated in numerous meetings since 1999  regarding the relicensing of this hydroelectric facility. In the past year alone, we have attended more than 105 Baker River Project relicensing meetings to address issues associated with wildlife, fish, recreation, and the language of the settlement agreement." . . .

Because the additional flood storage requires several significant approvals outside of the authority of the Federal Power Act before it will become a reality, it is WDFW’s view that the proposed license language for additional flood storage is a place holder that allows for a future possibility of an action by the Corps."

12/22/2004 Puget Sound Energy reply to FERC Comprehensive Settlement Agreement "PSE acknowledges the dispute between the County and other Parties regarding the NEPA process for Proposed License Article 107(b). It acknowledges that the Settlement does not determine such process. However, that omission is customary for flood control provisions under the control of the ACOE, which generally does not participate as a party in any relicensing proceeding, including settlement. The Parties did not purport to determine the ACOE's process on its behalf. Notwithstanding this process dispute, PSE fully supports the Settlement as drafted, signed by the Parties, and filed with the Commission as being a truly comprehensive settlement agreement."
12/22/2004 Sauk-Suiattle Indian Tribe reply to FERC Comprehensive Settlement Agreement "Our intent in drafting this article matches that expressed during the meeting by PSE, that Article 107 is a placeholder to show the intent of the relicense group to strive to achieve 29,000 acre-feet of flood storage at lower Baker Reservoir through the process established be the US Army Corps of Engineers (ACOE)."

"Throughout the relicense process the ACOE staff has been consistent in stating that additional flood storage at lower Baker Reservoir would only be considered as part of the Skagit Basin Flood Study."  . . .  "Given the disparity of the two processes, the language of Article 107 that addresses changes to the flood control regime must be read as a placeholder that shows the intent of the relicense participants to strive to achieve 29,000 acre-feet of additional storage at Lower Baker Reservoir, but only through the established ACOE process. Agreement to Article 107 by the Sauk-Suiattle Indian Tribe was conditioned on the understanding that Skagit County recognized that additional flood control would have to follow the ACOE process and that Skagit County was committed to the ACOE process." . . .

"...the Settlement does not include any environmental Protection, Mitigation and Enhancement measures for additional flood control. This is because the environmental effects have not been identified. It is our expectation that these measures would be part of the ACOE process. While additional flood control was not scoped or studied, relicense participants were willing to include a place holder license article solely to address the concerns of Skagit County and provide them certainty that there would be support for striving to achieve additional flood control through the ACOE process."

12/22/2004 Swinomish Tribal Community reply to FERC Comprehensive Settlement Agreement
12/23/2004 Skagit County Government reply to FERC Comprehensive Settlement Agreement The plain text of the proposed flood control license article and related provisions included in the Settlement make it clear that it is the intention of the Settlement signatories that Proposed License Article 107 ("Article l07') and Article 106(L) govern flood control operations at the Baker River Project for the entire term of the new license. Therefore, Article 107 is not a "placeholder," "interim," or "temporary" flood control license article, and there is no language anywhere in the Settlement that supports such a characterization. The Commission should give no credence to unsupported after-the-fact claims that the flood control provisions of the Settlement are a "placeholder."
12/28/2004 Upper Skagit Indian Tribe reply to FERC Comprehensive Settlement Agreement

"In regards to the issues raised by FERC staff during the technical conference of December 8, 2004 the Tribe believes that license Article 107 represents the intent of the parties as it relates to the proposed additional 29,000 acre feet of storage for flood control. It was the Tribe's understanding that all of the parties to the Agreement would work together in order to achieve the additional 29,000 acre feet of extra flood storage. The main concern as it related to this goal from the Tribe's perspective was the effect that such storage would have on the down stream flow regime. After reviewing the proposal it was determined by all parties that the additional flood control would not have a negative impact on the proposed down stream flow regime and as such the Tribe's concerns were satisfied."

01/03/2005 Corps of Engineers Seattle District Response to Comment Letters to the Comprehensive Settlement Agreement "If FERC includes the addition of29,000 acre-feet of storage at Lower Baker Dam as part of the license review for the Baker River Project, this would significantly complicate and delay the National Environmental Protection Act (NEPA) and Endangered Species Act (ESA) review for the license."
02/14/2005 Letters to local elected officials and Congressional Delegation by Skagit County Public Works Director "As the letter states, we are deeply concerned about the letters the Corps of Engineers has submitted to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC), suggesting that the additional flood control storage at the Lower Baker Reservoir is a mere "place holder" in the new license to be issued to Puget Sound Energy for the Baker River Hydro-Electric Project. . . . The new license, once issued by FERC, will be in place for up to 45 years and we need to ensure that adequate provisions for flood control are included and not delayed by the Corps process for many years, or even decades"
10/17/2008 FERC License for Puget Sound Energy Baker River Dams

Official terms of Federal Energy Regulator Commission license to Puget Sound Energy to operate Baker River Dams.

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Corps of Engineers GI Study Scoping Documents

11/07/1997 Intent To Prepare Draft Environmental Impact Statement (DEIS), Skagit River Flood Damage Reduction Study, Skagit County Washington Document informs the public about the scoping process.
11/19/1997 Corps Letter to Citizens Letter informs citizens of the Scoping Process.
12/11/1997 Public Meeting Notice re Scoping Document describes the purpose and what was going to happen at the meeting.
3/30/1998 Draft Questions and Comments re Scoping Any "GI Study" conducted by the Corps must reinitiate the scoping process.  This document shows the concerns and Corps responses to the last scoping notice in 1998.
7/12/2002 Scoping Talking Points Using current data for hydraulic modeling and economic analysis, results indicated that the flood damage potential for the Skagit delta was much greater than previously thought.  Habitat restoration has also been added as an element of the project.  The potential multi-benefits of the project are very significant.
2011 Scoping Efforts
8/08/2011 National Environmental Protection Act (NEPA) Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) Steps Flow chart of the environmental impact evaluation that must occur under NEPA alongside the GI Study process.
8/08/2011 Skagit River General Investigation (GI): Feasibility Phase Flow Chart Flow chart of the current phase of the GI Study.
8/09/2011 Brochure: What is NEPA... and the Public Scoping Process? What is NEPA scoping?

“Scoping is part of the EIS process through which a federal agency describes a proposed action and possible alternatives. The agency then seeks input from other agencies, organizations, and the public on potentially affected resources, environmental issues to be considered, and the agency’s planning approach to the analysis.”
8/09/2011 Poster: Skagit River General Investigation Study Project Purpose Project Purpose:

“The purpose of the Skagit River General Investigation (GI) Study is to identify the problems and opportunities that exist to reduce flood risks and to develop a flood risk management plan.”
8/10/2011
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Dike District 17 Submission to US Army Corps of Engineers 2011 Scoping Efforts "Burlington Levy Certification program... We must take as much of our critical infrastructure out of harms way with the least amount of impact to the environment. Water running through the city and then back to the river or the sound ... not good."
8/10/2011 National Environmental Policy Act Public Scoping Meeting Comment Form Comment form handed out at August 10, 2011 Scoping Meeting.  The comment form is optional in submitting comments.
8/10/2011 Skagit River General Investigation Study: NEPA Scoping Meeting Agenda of the Skagit River GI Study Scoping Meeting.
8/15/2011 Information Sheet for Skagit River GI “The primary intent of the flood risk management feasibility study is to evaluate flooding problems in the Skagit River basin from the Ross Dam reservoir (Ross Lake) to Skagit Bay; to formulate, evaluate, and screen potential solutions to these problems; and to recommend an alternative that has a federal interest and are supported by the local entities. The recommended plan must be technically viable, economically sound, and supported by the local jurisdictions and local sponsor. The study will result in an integrated Feasibility Study Report/Environmental Impact Statement (FR/EIS).
“The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers published a Notice of Intent (NOI) to prepare a Draft Environmental Impact Statement (DEIS) for the Skagit River General Investigation in the July 29, 2011 Federal Register. A NOI was originally published in the Federal Register in November 1997 and a public meeting was held. Due to the amount of time that has lapsed since the issuance of the original NOI, the Corps has reissued the NOI and is soliciting comments. A DEIS is being prepared due to the potential for impacts on environmental resources and the intense public interest already demonstrated in addressing the Skagit River flooding problems.”
8/15/2011 Skagit River GI Measures Map Map of proposed flood fighting measures.
8/26/2011 Skagit River GI NOI Comment Period Extension “During the comment period, requests to extend the comment period were received. In response to these requests, the comment period for the NOI has been extended through September 9, 2011.”
10/2011
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Skagit River General Investigation Study Scoping Summary Report for the Draft Feasibility Study And Environmental Impact Statement “The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Seattle District (USACE), in cooperation with Skagit County, is preparing a Draft Environmental Impact Statement (DEIS) under the National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) for a proposed flood-risk management General Investigation (GI) Study for the Skagit River Basin from Ross Lake to the river mouth at Skagit Bay. This study was requested by Skagit County because of the potential for significant flooding on the Skagit River.
“An initial notice of intent (NOI) for this project was originally published in the Federal Register on November 20, 1997, for a Skagit River Flood Damage Reduction Study (62 FR 62019). Since the original NOI was issued in 1997, the study has evolved to meet new challenges and include ecosystem considerations associated with Puget Sound Chinook salmon and bull trout species listed as threatened under the Endangered Species Act (ESA). On July 29, 2011, an additional NOI was published, recommencing the scoping process (76 FR 45543) (see Appendix A). The purpose of this most recent NOI was to provide opportunity for additional public input and ensure that the study still accurately reflects stakeholder resource issues and concerns.”

See also: 11/26/2011 www.SkagitRiverHistory.com Comments on October 2011 Corps Scoping Summary Report

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Corps of Engineers Public Hearing Transcripts

11/26/1924 Notice and Minutes of Public Hearing In Connection With Preliminary Examination of "Skagit River, Washington, With A View To The Control Of Its Floods" Directed By Flood Control Act of May 31, 1924

“I would like to emphasize the point, that Mr. Knapp brought out in his paper, that before any highly scientific plan can be prepared for the protection of this valley from floods, it is necessary to have more authoritative information than we now have as to the amount of water carried by the river in time of floods. ... The information that was collected by Mr. Stewart and given in his report to the committee was excellent so far as the dots that he had to work upon permitted, but that data was necessarily more or less inaccurate.”  Colonel W. J. Barden, Colonel, Corps of Engineers Seattle District Engineer

11/26/1924 Robert E.L. Knapp, Skagit County Engineer, Testimony for 11/26/1924 Hearing
11/26/1924 J.O. Rudene, Skagit County Property Owner Testimony for 11/26/1924 Hearing
11/26/1924 H.L. Willis, Skagit River Improvement Committee Chairman Testimony for 11/26/1924 Hearing
3/02/1937 Report of Public Hearing

The farmers have tilled the soil up close to the banks of the river; the dikes are built there, and the problem of dredging presents a situation where there is no place adequate to waste the sand that is taken from the river bed.  In other words, it will result in an attempt to confine to too narrow an area the volume of water that must escape.  That was faulty planning, or lack of planning at the start.  But the expenditures have been made and the farmers are attempting from their own pockets to keep that situation intact and improve it.” [R. V. Welts, Chairman, Skagit County Planning Council]

4/12/1949 Minutes on Public Hearing on Skagit River, Washington, Relating to Navigation

What we have now is a two-edge sword. The Skagit River is a real benefit to us, and on the other hand it is a constant hazard.”  [Mr. Nordmark, Anacortes Chamber of Commerce]

2/08/1961 Public Hearing on Flood Control for the Skagit River Basin, 8 February 1961

I am particularly interested in securing information on the nature and scope of the flood control improvements desired; the problems and difficulties encountered under the present conditions, and the proposed developments which would utilize the desired improvements that you would suggest.” [Source: Colonel R.P. Young, Corps of Engineers]

2/8/1961
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Missing Exhibits to Public Hearing Transcript This is a series of letters that were submitted during the 2/8/61 Public Hearing.  Dike 12:   "The dike has been raised an overall height of 2 feet for a distance of approx. 9 miles.  As they continue to build restrictions into the river below us, narrowing the stream flow, it will be necessary to raise the height of the dike." La Conner:  "In 1882, six feet of flood water inundated the land, damaged crops, and broke the dikes.  In 1886 the Skagit River overflowed and froze and in 1887 a late spring freshet damaged crops."  Dike 17:  District formed in 1907.  Letter identifies where the levee broke in 1917 & 1921.  Raised their levee 18 inches above the 1951 level.  Dike 20: (Nookachamps) Dike not high enough to keep out water over 24 feet.  Dwelly:  Supported dredging for commerce but very opposed to Faber Dam.  WSDOF:  Skagit "most valuable" tributary to Puget Sound in sustaining commercial sport fishing.  65% of the Chinook salmon spawning area is located on main stem of the Skagit and tributaries above proposed Faber dam site.  Supported building of Avon Bypass.  Dairy Farmers: "They know what has happened to them in past floods..."  Many dairy cows died in the 1951 flood.  Mt. Vernon:  Estimated over 4 million dollars of property in harm's way.  Figure included 600 homes and 1,400,000 sq. ft. of commercial property and 10 miles of sewer lines in flood area.    Total damages est. $6,200,000.  Burlington:  No loss since 1950.  Made no specific recommendation for a flood control project.  Needed to educate voters on flooding issue.
See also: Public Hearing on Flood Control for the Skagit River Basin, 8 February 1961
1/10/1964  Public Hearing Transcript; Corps mtg with Skagit County residents re Improvement Downstream Levees and adding Fisheries and Recreation to Avon ByPass. This public hearing transcript covers everything from dredging to the Sauk River Dam, to levee improvements, the Avon Bypass.  It is a wonderful snapshot in time on the issue of flood control.  Unfortunately, many of the views expressed at the public meeting are the same views being expressed by the uniformed today.  One of the better quotes from the document is from an old timer who passed away a few years ago.  "Let's have protection now, rather than 'Aid to a Disaster Area' later."
Zell A. Young, Welder, West Mt. Vernon, January 10, 1964 public hearing on Avon Bypass  
1/10/1964  Various Exhibits Submitted to USACOE at Public Hearing "We the Commissioners of Dike District #20 have hopes that with these projects completed we can expand our Dike District #20 so that the entire Nookachamp Valley can be Diked to give our farms protection from Floods that cover our farms land on an average of every three years, but realize that as off now we act as a reservoir for flood waters from the Skagit River so the lower parts of the Valley will have additional protection.  If our areas were diked at this time it would be impossible for the Skagit River to carry even a normal high water."  George Dynes, Dike Dist 20

Let's have protection now, rather than 'Aid to a Disaster area later.  Zell Young

See also: Public Hearing Transcript; Corps mtg with Skagit County residents re Improvement Downstream Levees and adding Fisheries and Recreation to Avon ByPass.
3/22/1978 Public Meeting on the Skagit River Levee and Channel Improvement Project

Meeting to discuss potential Corps projects for the Skagit River originally authorized in 1966 by Congress and to receive citizen input.  See also 3/23/78 SVH for a meeting summary.

6/17/1979 Transcript of Public Hearing

To me, to live in a flood plain and act shocked when the floods come is ridiculous. To live in the flood plain without raising the buildings is ridiculous and to expect taxpayers all over the country to pay the bills because some folks in Skagit Valley just didn't build their town right, is obsured [absurd].  If you are going to spend $55 million plus $88,000.00 a year on management costs we had better get a solution to the problem and the most recent June 1979 brochure which you got there is a list of alternatives, only four lines in this brochure are used to gloss over the only alternative that I feel that would bring a long-term solution to this flood damage problem. That would be rezoning, flood-proofing and raising the structures.”  [Source: Bruce Stroker, Big Lake Resident]

8/10/2011
New_Button
Reporter's Transcript of Proceedings Skagit County Flood Study Meeting

Fixed link!
“NEPA really does encourage citizen participation via public hearings, scoping meetings, these comment periods where you can send in your written comments. Public involvement is a very important aspect of the NEPA process. It's an opportunity for the public to participate in a federal decision-making process and direct an agency's attention to the community's concerns.”

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Flood Damages

3/13/1963

Corps letter to Skagit County

Documents concerning “calculated” flood damages from Skagit River flooding events.

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Ross Dam Storage Documents

All documents in this section show records of investigations and attitudes towards providing flood control storage behind Ross Dam over the years.
Date Title Summary 
7/15/1946 Congressman Henry "Scoop" Jackson Letter to Corps of Engineers, Re: Application to Increase Ross Dam Height and Request for Flood Control “As you will note, the Skagit County Planning Commission and the Board of County Commissioners have requested that any grant of right to increase the height of the Ross Dan be granted only upon the condition that the upper 15 feet of the dam, as either completed or partially completed be reserved as storage for flood waters and for flood control purposes.”

09 Note: Upper 15 feet of full pool translates into 170,741 acre-feet of storage.  As of 2/2010, Ross Lake has 119,629 acre-feet of flood control storage.
9/26/1946 Seattle District Corps of Engineers Letter, re: Ross Dam Flood Capacity Needs “From the tabulation in paragraph 4, it can be seen that 100,000 to 200,000 acre-feet of storage would control the winter floods of record on the upper Skagit.”
11/20/1946 Acting Chief of Engineers for the Army Corps of Engineers Letter to Federal Power Commission, Re: Third Step in the Construction of the Ross Dam “Studies by our District Engineer, Seattle, Washington, indicate that 300,000 acre-feet or more of capacity would be required to control floods comparable to the historical floods of 1851 and 1856, although a reserve capacity of approximately 200,000 acre-feet during the period 1 November to 1 April would have controlled floods of record since 1909.”
1/16/1947 Seattle District District Engineer Corps of Engineer Letter to North Pacific Division, Re: Skagit County Planning Commission Meeting on Flood Storage, Ross Dam, Skagit River, Washington “Several members of the committee objected to the proposed flood control reservation of 200,000 acre-feet from 1 November to 1 April on the grounds that, although the amount of storage was adequate, the period suggested did not include the usual early fall high water in October, nor the snow melt high water in April.  In historic times neither of those high waters has exceeded bank-full stage of Skagit River, and anticipated reservoir operations are such that flood storage reservation in the months of October and April would reduce the prime power output of the plant.  Nevertheless, the representative of Seattle City Light stated that the City would have no objections to reserving 200,000 acre-feet of flood storage from 1 October to 1 May of each year.”
4/29/1947 Federal Power Commission Order Authorizing Amendment of License [to complete Ross Dam] “Upon installation of the spillway gates it is provided that during the period November 1 to April 1 200,000 acre-feet of storage space in Ross Reservoir shall be reserved by the licensee for flood control and utilized as prescribed herein.”
12/27/1948 Seattle City Light Letter, Re: Amendment of License - Project No. 553 - Third Step of Ross Dam Request due to inadequate data, incomplete dam & powerhouse construction and also “the position that the Skagit Project bears to regional power development rather than an isolated project.
1/26/1950 Col. Itschner Ltr to Seattle Department of Lighting/Seattle City Light on Ross Dam Storage “The value of flood storage at Ross was recently demonstrated during the November 1949 flood when river stages at Mount Vernon were reduced by an estimated three feet through the fortunate availability of sufficient storage above Ross Dam.”

See Also: 1/7/1950 Reply to Corps Request for Flood Fight Mapping: At “the peak of the Nov. 27-28 flood... The dikes at Mount Vernon were about 1.5 or 2 feet above the peak at most places, with weak spots developing near Avon.”
2/8/1950 Corps Seattle District Ltr to North Pacific Division, Re: Standard Project Flood, Skagit River Basin, Washington “From the hydrograph on Plate 4 and considering 200,000 acre-feet available in Ross Reservoir for reduction of floods, it is calculated that the peak inflow of 97,000 second-feet could be reduced to a constant outflow of about 25,000 second-feet. The Skagit River Report may present data to indicate that a reduction to zero outflow for a short period may be better for flood control, but in any case it is evident that the Ross Reservoir, will be able to accomplish a substantial reduction of flood flows.”
7/17/1950 Seattle City Light/Department of Lighting Letter to Corps of Engineers, Re: Costs of 200,000 Acre-Feet of Ross Dam Storage & Discharge Capability Past Gorge Diversion Dam “The Department has made a study of the operations of the reservoir to effect flood control in the amount of 200,000 acre-feet to be made available continuously from December 1 through February 15 of each seasonal year. In this study it was assumed that the Skagit River plants would be operated as a part of the Northwest Power Pool.” 
8/13/1953 Ltr to USACE Corps District Office in Portland fm USACE Seattle District Office re: Flood Control Requirement and Operating Procedure for Ross Reservoir, Skagit River, Wash. This document provides descriptive detail into how the USACE determined to lower the required 200,000 acre feet originally required for flood control storage down to 125,000 acre feet.  “All discharges of more than 65,000 second-feet at either Sedro Woolley (1908 through 1923) and Concrete (1924 to date) occurring in October, November, and December were studied.”

See also: Retyped for clarity and emphasis 8/14/1953 Corps document.

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FEMA DOCUMENTS

 

Date

Title

Summary 
5/9/1980

Floodway Meetings with Skagit County, Burlington, Hamilton, and Lyman

Split floodways, equal conveyance floodways, growth in the City of Burlington, floodway between Burlington and Sterling Hill all were discussed at these meetings.
3/25/1981

SVH Article re floodway designation devastation

Skagit Valley Herald article which quotes FEMA official that if local government cannot agree on floodway designation then the Federal government would do it for them.  FEMA would have to use "equal conveyance" method which would "devastate" local economy.  Once floodway is picked dike improvements and dike construction would be prohibited.
11/17/1981

FEMA letter to Port Commissioner

FEMA investigating Burlington sewer project.  Letter addresses 1 ft rise requirement in Burlington.  City must adhere to requirements of CFR 60.3(c)(10).
7/8/1981

FEMA letter to Art Day

Letter discusses building restrictions in floodways.
3/24/1982

FEMA letter to Burlington

FEMA open to discussion of "density floodway".  Local people thought keeping open 25% of parcel of property would be enough.  FEMA refers to amount as "admittedly arbitrary" and "considerably understates" amount of land needed to pass 100 year flood. 
4/2/1982

Memorandum for Record re Dames & Moore Study

Floodways should be delineated on FEMA maps as showing only the main channel and the levees on the inside toe (the protected side) of the levees.  Dames & Moore to determine density floodway amount of land to be set aside for 100 yr flood.
12/1982

Dames & Moore Report

100 year flood determined to be 240,000 cfs at Sedro-Woolley.  110,000 cfs assumed to stay in channel.  130,000 cfs assumed to flow overland.  Assumed 86,000 cfs flowing to Padilla Bay and 44,000 cfs flowing to Skagit Bay via the Samish basin.  I-5 will ultimately be overtopped.  Used Mannings "n" values of .045 to .06.  Recommended 10% of floodplain could be developed using density floodway method until flood waters would be raised 1 foot.
8/22/1983

FEMA letter re floodway designation of Gages Slough

This letter discusses why FEMA felt it could not designate Gages Slough as a floodway. Cascade Mall hydraulic study could not be supported by any scientific or technical data. Section 60.3c would be part of local ordinances which would require hydraulic analysis of fill in the Burlington area.
12/15/1983

FEMA letter re development restrictions

FEMA informs Dept of Ecology that since a regulatory floodway had not been designated that 60.3(c)(10) would have to be enforced before local or state permits could be issued for building permits.
2/1/1984

FEMA letter re denial of appeal filed on Burlington FIS

This letter explains why the appeal of the Burlington FIS was denied by FEMA. Regulations only require FEMA to use available topographic data. Lands within and including the Skagit River levees were designated as floodways. Unlikely that historical depth of floodwaters would be repeated.
5/22/1984

FEMA letter re Dept. of Ecology appeal ignored

FEMA performed hydraulic analysis "as if the levees did not exist".  Flood elevations were determined on an "average amount" basis.  Letter continually refers to "uncertainty" as to where the levees will break as justification for what they did.
6/18/1984

MFR re Final Coordination Meeting (1 foot rise part of NFIP)

Only 16 people attended the public meeting.  CFR Section 60.3(c)(10) or cumulative impact=1 foot rise regulation clearly was part of local flood ordinances.  Bud Norris was the Chairman of the Board of County Commissioners.
11/1/1984 Letter from FEMA to Skagit County Planning

Concerning conveyance areas, we agreed that the work Bob Boudinot is doing to designate secondary drainage channels, such as the Gages Slough, as areas for which building cannot occur, as well as designating areas adjacent to such channels as areas in which buildings must be elevated using post, pier, pile, or column techniques, would be desirable and would probably comply with the encroachment provision found at Section 60.3(c}(10) when combined with the additional strip available along the levees discussed in the previous paragraph.

2/20/1987

FEMA letter re BNRR fill in Gages Slough

FEMA actually enforced CFR 60.3(c)(10) prohibiting BNRR from putting fill in Gages Slough.  Unfortunately they never enforced having BNRR remove the fill they had already placed in Gages Slough.  This is an excellent example of how the NFIP in Skagit County should have been enforced.  See FEMA -- The Total Failure Package.
3/8/1991

SVH Article re Burlington developments

This article shows all of the developments that were either started or completed during January 1989 through March 1991 in the Burlington area.  To my knowledge only the Cascade Mall performed a hydraulic analysis of its impacts on flood flows and that study was later declared as not being "supported by any scientific or technical data."  (See 8/22/83 FEMA letter above.)
4/17/1991 Letter in response to Skagit River: The Disaster Waiting to Happen "What we ended up with on the floodplain maps for the Lower Skagit, was nothing to plaster technical journals with. It was a compromise, between the need to assure a high enough level of awareness of the potential flooding danger almost everywhere in the Delta, and the need to be fair to those who live there and wish to continue to do so, such as by constructing new buildings."
3/11/1996 Interagency Levee Coordination Committee Review Form and Supporting Documents for PL 84-99 work on Dike District 17 Levees Completed by Corps of Engineers One of several projects for DD-17 due to damages during 1995 flood event.  (Interesting answers to Yes/No questions).
4/2003

Appendix H to Guidelines and Specifications for Flood Hazard Mapping Partners

FEMA specifications to consultants regarding new National Flood Insurance Program map procedures.

5/13/2004 Region X Flood Damage Prevention Ordinance The template of what a good local flood damage prevention ordinance should look like at least through FEMA eyes.
9/2005 NFIP Insurance Report as of September 2005

National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) spreadsheet for Skagit County as of September 2005 for premiums, coverage amounts, total claims since 1978 and payouts for flood damages (Doll).

2/2006 Current FEMA Elevation Certificate and Instructions

Instructions and form for Letter of Map Amendment; Expires Feb. 28, 2009.

2/10/2006 An Evaluation of Flood Frequency Analyses for the Skagit River, Skagit County, Washington The "evaluation of flood frequency analyses for the Skagit River" by Will Thomas, Jr. for the Michael Baker, Jr. firm.
5/26/2006 Carl Cook of FEMA Memo to Skagit County Council of Governments (SCOG) Carl L. Cook, Jr., Mitigation Division Director of the Region X office explains the process of the flood elevation maps.
9/29/2006 FEMA letter to Mt. Vernon Mayor Bud Norris FEMA dismisses Mt. Vernon's concerns over the consultation process required by law.
10/16/2006 FEMA letter to Skagit River Impact Partnership FEMA again reneges on its commitment to the people of Skagit County to review  documentation concerning correct hydrology for the Skagit River.
2/12/2007 FEMA response to Hamilton Smith House Report FEMA applauds Burlington's efforts to "assist" in gathering information for the new FIS maps and promises (like those have never been broken before) to add it to the record (and if the past record is any indication they will completely ignore it).

2/28/2007

Policy Statistics and Loss Statistics

"In the last 29 years FEMA NFIP has paid out $11,481,288."

2/28/2007 MFR: Lower Skagit River hydraulic modeling of levee systems

Memorandum describing methodology to be used for new flood insurance maps.

2/28/2007 MFR Attachment: Map of failure scenarios

Map showing how floodplain would be impacted by levee failures in FEMA model.

3/5/2007 Letter of Review & Comment on Draft Environmental Impact Statement of Mount Vernon Downtown Flood Protection Alternatives “The DEIS makes several references to a “comprehensive strategy for reducing flood risks throughout the basin,” yet the City is already proceeding with an independent project proposal outside of the broader investigation. Additional information is needed as to how the proposed alternative will integrate with the concurrent basin-wide flood control evaluation process.”

(See also 8/12/2008 City of Mount Vernon Ltr and 3/5/2007 Letter Re: Mount Vernon Downtown Flood Protection Project)
4/2007 Living Behind Levees FEMA explains how they assess levees and integrate that assessment into their flood insurance maps.
4/2007 The NFIP and Levees: Frequently Asked Questions Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) put out by FEMA and the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) regarding levees and levee certification.
4/2007 The NFIP and Levees: An Overview FEMA explains how levees are assessed and says, "Levees are designed to provide a specific level of protection.  They can be overtopped or fail in larger flood events.  Levees also decay over time.  ... When levees do fail, they fail catastrophically.  The damage may be more significant than if the levee was not there.  For all these reasons, FEMA urges people to understand their flood risk."
4/18/2007

Wash. D.C. FEMA letter responding to Mount Vernon re SRIP letter to FEMA Director

Besides warmed over oatmeal and giving a whole new meaning to the federal definition of "expeditiously" the letter says basically nothing and is a tribute to FEMA's inability to address local concerns.

5/15/2007

FEMA 2007 Skagit County Outreach PowerPoint Presentation

Latest presentation from FEMA re new BFE figures

5/21/2007

Common Questions & Answers Pertaining to the Skagit River FIS

FEMA Q&A regarding the Skagit County Flood Insurance Study.
[Skagit County Government also has a page about this.]

5/24/2007

FEMA Presentation to Burlington Chamber of Commerce Town Hall by Ryan Ike

PowerPoint presentation given by Ryan Ike to the Town Hall put on by the Burlington Chamber of Commerce defending FEMA and explaining the flood insurance maps.

9/2007 United States Government Accountability Office (GAO) Audit: FEMA’s Management and Oversight of Payments for Insurance Company Services Should Be Improved Why GAO Did This Study:
Extraordinary recent flood events raise serious questions about the solvency of the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), which is administered by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA).
9/5/2007 FEMA Ltrs to City of Burlington and City of Mount Vernon on independent flood insurance rate mapping for the two cities. "...maps will contain the authoritative data that has been generated, reviewed, and approved by the U.S. Geological Survey, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, and FEMA with input from other local entities."
2/2008 Proposed Memorandum of Agreement (MOA) for Determining 100-year Flood Elevations Proposed framework for 3 judge panel to address all evidence as to what a 100-year flood would be on the Skagit River.
2/11/2008 Skagit River System Cooperative Letter to Ryan Ike, Re: FEMA mapping process for Skagit Valley Skagit River System Cooperative (SRSC) opposes 3 judge panel and states, "We are confident that FEMA has used the best available science to this point in the process."
2/26/2008 FEMA Letter to Mayor Bud Norris of Mount Vernon, Re: 3 Judge Panel "After evaluating the proposed scope, effect, panel selection (procedures), and anticipated outcome, FEMA finds several significant issues that preclude agreement to the MOA. In summary, we believe the submitted MOA violates public due process, presumes that FEMA will not provide an unbiased adjudication, and sets an unnecessary precedence for deviating from established federal regulations . . .  We are also concerned that the list of parties signing this MOA is not inclusive, yet the expected outcome of the MOA would be applied to the entire geographic area."
3/10/2008 Disaster News: FEMA Report Shows Mitigation Saves Money "Mitigation work in the Centralia area after the 1996 floods saved a estimated $1.9 million in residential home damage in the December 2007 floods, a new Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) report concluded."
3/27/2008 FEMA Letter to Skagit County Commissioners

FEMA announces upgrade of FLO-2D software and that the Corps of Engineers "recently discovered the historic data necessary to convert the data for the Skagit River near Concrete for water years 1924-1944 to unregulated conditions."

6/16/2008 WASH DC COMPLAINT against new FEMA BFE figures Complaint filed, FEMA backs down within 12 hours.
6/16/2008 Government of DC Exhibits

Seven pages of exhibits showing how the Government of the District of Columbia attempted to cooperate with FEMA.

9/22/2008 Endangered Species Act – Section 7 Consultation Final Biological Opinion and Magnuson-Stevens Fishery Conservation and Management Act Essential Fish Habitat Consultation for the Implementation of the National Flood Insurance Program in the State of Washington Phase One Document – Puget Sound Region

“The primary element of FEMA’s minimum criteria that affects listed salmonids and their habitats is the requirement to elevate structures so that the lowest floor of construction is at or above the BFE (the discussion in this paper focuses on riverine examples, but there are similar standards for coastal areas). The placement of fill in the floodplain displaces salmonid habitat, and the associated development results in the placement of additional fill to support infrastructure and in increased pollution, stormwater runoff, vegetation removal, and other adverse effects..”

10/21/2008 Letter to Mount Vernon Mayor Bud Norris, re: National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS) Biological Opinion (BO) of National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP)

We all have a legal responsibility to ensure our actions do not cause a take (harass, harm, pursue, hunt, shoot, wound, kill, trap, capture, or collect, or to attempt to engage in any such conduct) to threatened or endangered species. Under Section 9 of the ESA, actions or decisions enacted by you and your officials are subject to this prohibition regardless of federal involvement. Additionally, any person can be subject to criminal or civil penalties for causing a take. NMFS considers the issuance of floodplain development permits without addressing the impacts on listed species or their critical habitat as a take under the Endangered Species Act.

12/01/2008 Letter to Burlington, Re: Community Assistance Visit (CAV) for Participation in the NFIP “In summary, there are a few questions regarding the implementation of the NFIP in the City of Burlington; however, the overall feeling is that the city is doing a good job implementing the provisions of the program.”
The below three presentations were given at the Round Table Discussion hosted by the University of Washington Disaster Topics Multi-Hazard Round Table on Jan. 22, 2009.
1/22/2009 Safeguarding Coasts and Floodplains for Fish, Wildlife and People

National Wildlife Federation (NWF) explains why they sued to reform FEMA in an era of climate change.  NWF states their prime motivation as the existence of a  “NFIP subsidy fueling harmful development of coastal and floodplain habitats”.

1/22/2009 NMFS BiOp on FEMA’s National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP)

The National Marine Fisheries Service claims among the effects of the NFIP are that it “Allows fill and levees (no insurance) and development”. The presentation also states what in their opinion FEMA must do going forward in its administration of the NFIP.

1/22/2009 ESA and the National Flood Insurance Program

“FEMA recognizes and acknowledges the importance of preserving critical salmon habitat and believes that the NFIP’s core mission of reducing flood risks to life and property are not mutually exclusive.”

 
6/23/2009 Letter Re: Mount Vernon Downtown Flood Protection Project “We encourage the City of Mount Vernon to work with other communities to submit one comprehensive Conditional Letter of Map Revision (CLOMR) that includes all existing and proposed flood protection projects for the Skagit River. In order to meet all the requirements of 44 CFR, communities along the Skagit River should not finalize their levee plans until they have collaborated on levee project designs and effects and incorporated the results of the USACE flood damage reduction feasibility study. The processing of this CLOMR is hereby suspended until these steps can be taken.”

(See also 3/5/2007 Letter Re: Mount Vernon Downtown Flood Protection Project and 8/12/2008 City of Mount Vernon Ltr)
9/15/2009 ESA and the National Flood Insurance Program: Implementing a salmon friendly program 28 slide presentation explaining the path forward as, “FEMA recognizes the need to protect threatened and endangered salmon species while continuing the successful implementation of the NFIP in the Pacific Northwest.”
9/15/2009 FEMA Region X: A New Vision for the Future NOW A FEMA Region X presentation to the 2009 Northwest Regional Floodplain Management Association (NORFMA).  Includes this statement, “FEMA feels that land use and flood control practices that protect salmon and their critical habitat also means implementing good floodplain management that will ultimately reduce damages to flood.”
10/8/2009 Letter to City of Mount Vernon, WA Requesting More Data for CLOMR “On the basis of the information submitted to date, we have identified additional data needed to process this CLOMR. The data required to complete our review, which must be submitted within 90 days of the date of this letter, are listed in the enclosed summary.”
12/3/2009 Series of E-mails between Burlington & FEMA re: Certifying Levee Segments One thing that I think would really help in a discussion is a bit more detail on the design concept. There is not really such a thing as a “certified levee segment”. 44 CFR 65.2b defines certification. One part states “Certification of structural works is a statement that the works are designed in accordance with sound engineering practices to provide protection from the base flood” (emphasis added).
12/8/2009 FEMA E-mail to Burlington, Re: Meeting to Update Region X on Dike 12 / Burlington "Certified Levee Segment" Concept List of 5 things necessary for addressing floodplain development .
12/15/2009 Cover Letter to Preliminary Flood Insurance Study: Skagit County, Washington and Incorporated Areas “The Department of Homeland Security's Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) has produced the DFIRM and FIS report in countywide format, which means that flood hazard information for the entire geographic area of the county, including both incorporated and unincorporated areas, is presented. The flood hazard information presented on the DPIRM includes Special Flood Hazard Areas (SFHA's), which are the areas that would be inundated by the flood having a I-percent chance of being equaled or exceeded in any given year (base flood); Base Flood Elevations (BFEs); and regulatory floodways, which are the areas that must be kept free of encroachment so that the base flood can be carried without significant increases in flood levels.”
12/15/2009 Preliminary Flood Insurance Study: Skagit County, Washington and Incorporated Areas “This study has developed flood-risk data for various areas of the community that will be used to establish actuarial flood insurance rates and to assist the community in its efforts to promote sound floodplain management. Minimum floodplain management requirements for participation in the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) are set forth in the Code of Federal Regulations at 44 CFR, 60.3.”

(See also: 2009-12-16 KING 5 Clip)
12/15/2009 Press Release: Skagit County Receives Preliminary Flood Maps “After officials have had 30 days to study the preliminary maps, FEMA will assist with a comprehensive public awareness campaign and a series of open houses to explain the ramifications of the new maps. At the conclusion of the public outreach process, a series of legal notices will begin a 90-day appeal period through which residents and property owners who believe the proposed flood maps contain errors can submit additional scientific or technical information through their community officials to FEMA.”
12/18/2009 Correction to the Skagit County, Washington and Incorporated Areas FIS Report dated December 15, 2009 “On December 15, 2009, we sent you the Skagit County, Washington and Incorporated Areas Flood Insurance Report (FIS) . A recent review of the report has determined that Tables 4, 5 and 8 were incorrect.”
12/23/2009 Press Release: Skagit County Preliminary Flood Maps to be Re-Issued “Local government officials brought mapping and cartography issues to the attention of the agency. While FEMA remains confident in the underlying flood hazard data, the issues being brought forward are troubling and warrant the reissuance of the maps. “FEMA’s intention is to produce the most accurate flood insurance maps possible,” said Dennis Hunsinger, Acting Regional Administrator for FEMA Region 10. ”
1/2010 Model Ordnance: Floodplain Management and the Endangered Species Act Current recommendation from FEMA Region X on a draft model ordinance for all local jurisdictions to implement. 
2/8/2010 FEMA Letter to City of Sacramento on Illegal Development Permits NFIP participating communities are required to enforce floodplain management regulations that meet minimum NFIP criteria. Failure to develop a corrective action plan that remediates the known violations, will result in a finding that the City's floodplain management program is not compliant with NFIP criteria; and, therefore, the City is ineligible for the CRS Program.
3/17/2010 Michael Baker, Jr. Corp Summary of the Skagit River Hydrology Technical Meeting Ted Perkins, FEMA, indicated that a Technical Memorandum was being prepared with responses to questions raised by the County and the City of Burlington. This Technical Memorandum will be provided with revised copies of the Preliminary FIRM. Ted also indicated that release of the revised Preliminary FIRM was held up pending the outcome of the March 17 meeting.  ...  Ted indicated that a meeting will be held with community officials (without the public) to discuss the Technical Memorandum and the revised Preliminary FIRM. 
4/8/2010

Letter to FEMA Region X on behalf of the Washington REALTORS®, several local associations of the Washington REALTORS, the Master Builders Association of King and Snohomish Counties, several local building associations, and several private property owners with property in King, Snohomish and Skagit Counties re: FEMA's Model Ordinance for Biological Opinion issued by the National Marine Fisheries Service

“As a foundational comment, FEMA's Model Ordinance suffers the same fatal flaw as the BiOp itself: it is bipolar. On the one hand, the BiOp repeatedly acknowledges that the majority of the 100 year floodplain and floodplain habitat in the Puget Sound region has been modified, channelized or otherwise developed and, therefore, provides no habitat functions or benefits for endangered species. BiOp at 146. At the same time, the BiOp asserts that virtually every inch of the 100 year floodplain in the Puget Sound region should be protected from development to achieve the BiOp' s goal of ensuring that development in the floodplain "will not result in adverse habitat effects." BiOp at 156.”

See also: Endangered Species Act – Section 7 Consultation Final Biological Opinion
5/19/2010 An Evaluation of Flood Frequency Analyses for the Skagit River, Skagit County, Washington The impact of the historic peak discharge revisions and new data resulted in the regulated 1-percent annual chance (base) discharge decreasing from 226,400 cfs to 209,500 cfs. ... Based on this review, it was concluded that no changes are warranted in the USACE (2008) hydrologic analysis.
See Also:  FEMA Region X E-mail, Re: Status Update on FIRMs
5/27/2010 Letter to Three Rivers Levee Improvement Authority (of California), Re: FEMA Levee Certification What it takes to get FEMA to certify a levee.  FEMA also warned, Even though we plan to map the referenced levee system as providing protection from the 1-percent-annual-chance flood, it is important to note that levees are only designed to provide a specific level of protection. They can be overtopped or fail in larger flood events. ... When levees do fail, they fail catastrophically, and damage may be more significant than if the levee was not there.
6/15/2010 FEMA Region X E-mail, Re: Status Update on FIRMs The Preliminary FIS and associated maps are expected to be sent to all Skagit County communities on or near June 30, 2010. This study is county-wide and will extend from Concrete downstream to the bay. All communities in the County are encouraged to review the maps and take a close look at the new conditions shown. ... Along with the preliminary FIS, we are also looking at HAZUS (emergency management and economic loss estimation tool) to evaluate a series of scenarios to determine relative change in damages and flood depths. This product is non-regulatory but helps isolate various levels of risk associated with the flood hazard. It is also a modeling tool frequently used by Emergency Managers to evaluate potential debris, displaced population, and response planning. The data used in the modeling was provided by the County.
See Also:
 An Evaluation of Flood Frequency Analyses for the Skagit River, Skagit County, Washington
6/30/2010 FEMA Flood Insurance Rate Map Packet for Skagit County This is a 65MB PDF file hosted by Skagit County Government containing the maps and assorted documents.
See Also: Flood Insurance Study for Skagit County, Washington and Incorporated Areas - Revised June 30, 2010, See Also: 1981-1984 FEMA-BFE Flood Research
6/30/2010 FEMA Region X Mitigation Division Director Letter to Burlington Mayor Your community and others will have 90 days from the receipt of this letter to review the enclosed copies of the DFIRM and FIS report. The review period provides your community and others with an opportunity to identify changes or corrections to non-technical information, such as corporate limits, road names (within or adjacent to SFRAs), bridges, and streams labels, presented on the DFIRM or in the FIS report. ... During the course of preparing the countywide DFIRM and FIS report, we added or modified BFEs where appropriate. Therefore, following the 90-day review period and the flood study review meeting, we will initiate a statutory 90-day appeal period for the new or modified BFEs. We will send you a letter approximately 2 weeks before the start of the 90-day appeal period to detail the appeal process. 
6/30/2010 Flood Insurance Study for Skagit County, Washington and Incorporated Areas - Revised June 30, 2010 The hydrologic analysis was based on flows developed for the Skagit River near Concrete at River Mile 54.1. This location was the focal point for several reasons. There has been a stream gage (U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) gage #12149000) at this location since October 1924 and there are four additional significant historical peaks that were estimated for this location. The stream gage encompasses 88% of the total drainage area of the Skagit River (2,737 square miles). ...  The data for the Skagit River near Concrete provides a firm foundation to determine the magnitude and frequency of floods in the Skagit River Basin.
6/30/2010 Flood Profiles for Revised as of June 30, 2010 FIS 70 pages of projections of Skagit River Flood Risk at various stretches of the Skagit River and tributaries such as the Sauk River, Baker River and Cascade River.
7/23/2010 U.S. Senator Thad Cochran: Cochran Legislation Elicits FEMA Action On Flood Insurance FEMA will establish a process for communities to appeal to an independent review panel when direct FEMA-to-community consultations falter.  A five-member scientific resolution panel, three of whom would be selected by appellant communities, would be formed from a predetermined list of qualified and independent experts.  The panel would have a set timeline to review scientific and technical information submitted by communities to challenge FEMA findings.

See Also: Parameters for the Flood Mapping Scientific Resolution Panel
7/23/2010 Parameters for the Flood Mapping Scientific Resolution Panel National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) participating communities are strongly urged to collaborate with FEMA throughout the study of their flood hazards, providing available data, models, and other scientific information that would enhance the final Flood Insurance Rate Map and avoid appeals. When such appeals are necessary, community consultation is the preferred method of resolution. Such consultation allows for collaborative evaluation and discussion of the conflicting data between FEMA and the appellant and usually facilitates a mutually acceptable resolution. On occasions when community consultation cannot produce a mutually acceptable resolution, the Panel will be made available. The Panel will be made up of experts on hydrology, hydraulics, and other pertinent sciences, as they apply to the development of Base Flood Elevations (BFEs)for FEMA flood studies.

See Also: U.S. Senator Thad Cochran: Cochran Legislation Elicits FEMA Action On Flood Insurance
8/9/2010 Essential Facilities in the City of Burlington Affected by a 100 Year Flood Due to the Removal of the Burlington Levee “Essential Facilities in the City of Burlington. Essential facilities include fire stations, hospitals, and other vital business. Notice the depth of flooding near some of these facilities, which may be as high as 13 feet.

See Also: 6/15/2010 FEMA Region X E-mail, Re: Status Update on FIRMs, FEMA HAZUS website
8/9/2010 Essential Facilities in the City of Mount Vernon Affected by a 100 Year Flood Due to the Removal of the Mount Vernon Levee “Essential Facilities in the City of Mount Vernon. Essential facilities include fire stations, hospitals, and other vital business. Notice the depth of flooding near some of these facilities, which may be as high as 15 feet or more.”

See Also: 6/15/2010 FEMA Region X E-mail, Re: Status Update on FIRMs, FEMA HAZUS website
8/9/2010 HAZUS Results for the City of Burlington Due to the Removal of the Burlington Levee 50 Year Flood Analysis “The estimates of social and economic impacts contained in this report were produced using HAZUS loss estimation methodology software which is based on current scientific and engineering knowledge. There are uncertainties inherent in any loss estimation technique. Therefore, there may be significant differences between the modeled results contained in this report and the actual social and economic losses following a specific flood.”

See Also: 6/15/2010 FEMA Region X E-mail, Re: Status Update on FIRMs, FEMA HAZUS website
8/9/2010 HAZUS Results for the City of Burlington Due to the Removal of the Burlington Levee 100 Year Flood Analysis Analysis by FEMA of potential flood water depth, financial and property losses plus creation of debris due to lack of 100-year certified levee protection for the City of Burlington.

See Also: 6/15/2010 FEMA Region X E-mail, Re: Status Update on FIRMs, FEMA HAZUS website
8/9/2010 HAZUS Results for the City of Mount Vernon Due to the Removal of the Mount Vernon Levee 50 Year Flood Analysis “The estimates of social and economic impacts contained in this report were produced using HAZUS loss estimation methodology software which is based on current scientific and engineering knowledge. There are uncertainties inherent in any loss estimation technique. Therefore, there may be significant differences between the modeled results contained in this report and the actual social and economic losses following a specific flood.”

See Also: 6/15/2010 FEMA Region X E-mail, Re: Status Update on FIRMs, FEMA HAZUS website
8/9/2010 HAZUS Results for the City of Mount Vernon Due to the Removal of the Mount Vernon Levee 100 Year Flood Analysis Analysis by FEMA of potential flood water depth, financial and property losses plus creation of debris due to lack of 100-year certified levee protection for the City of Mount Vernon.

See Also: 6/15/2010 FEMA Region X E-mail, Re: Status Update on FIRMs, FEMA HAZUS website
8/9/2010 HAZUS Results for the Skagit Valley Combination of All Levee Removals 50 Year Analysis “The estimates of social and economic impacts contained in this report were produced using HAZUS loss estimation methodology software which is based on current scientific and engineering knowledge. There are uncertainties inherent in any loss estimation technique. Therefore, there may be significant differences between the modeled results contained in this report and the actual social and economic losses following a specific flood.”

See Also: 6/15/2010 FEMA Region X E-mail, Re: Status Update on FIRMs, FEMA HAZUS website
8/9/2010 HAZUS Results for the Skagit Valley Combination of All Levee Removals 100 Year Analysis Analysis by FEMA of potential flood water depth, financial and property losses plus creation of debris due to lack of 100-year certified levee protection for the Skagit River Basin from Sedro-Woolley downstream to Fir Island.  Also analyzes damages to Samish River Basin from levee breeches on the Skagit River at Burlington and Avon.

See Also: 6/15/2010 FEMA Region X E-mail, Re: Status Update on FIRMs, FEMA HAZUS website
8/9/2010 Press Release of Public Meeting Dates on new FEMA Flood Maps “The new information shows areas that will be inundated by the base (100-year) flood as well as the revised base flood elevations (BFE). The maps, once adopted by the community are utilized by lending institutions and insurance agents to determine who must purchase flood insurance. In addition, the maps will be used by community officials for floodplain management and permitting purposes.
8/10/2010 1897 Mount Vernon Levee Failure The following Skagit County Gov't/FEMA videos were created from flood modeling incorporating approximate locations of historic levee failures. The depth and time of flooding was generated using FLO-2D. The approximate levee failure location is shown in red in each scenario. The time lapse video begins at 60 hours after flooding begins and ends at 130 hours. Each scenario is based on a 100 year discharge. Please note these flood events are modeled and may differ from an actual flood event. Movies are in the Windows Media .wmv format.
1917 Big Bend Levee Failure
1921 Burlington/Mount Vernon Levee Failure
1921 Burlington Levee Failure
1990 Fir Island Levee Failure
8/12/2010 Great Rivers Habitat Alliance V. Federal Emergency Management Agency Ruling by United States District Court for the Eastern District of Missouri

The NFIP does not invite motions for reconsideration. Where FEMA's regulations require new certified technical information, this is not a command to certify the existing information in FEMA's files. Rather, the regulations require appellants to certify new information so FEMA can conduct another analysis. This is precisely what appellants failed to do in this case. Instead, appellants attempt to force FEMA to reanalyze the existing data, hoping for a different result, without submitting any new certified technical data showing the first analysis contained mathematical or measurement errors, or physical conditions have changed. Because appellants did not submit new scientific or technical information, and what they did submit was not certified by an engineer or surveyor, appellants are relying on nothing but the data in FEMA's files. The district court correctly concluded it lacked jurisdiction because appellants failed to exhaust their administrative remedies by filing a proper appeal with FEMA.

8/18/2010 Procedure Memorandum 64 – Compliance with the Endangered Species Act (ESA) for Letters of Map Change “Because Conditional Letters of Map Revision based-on Fill (CLOMR-Fs) and Conditional Letters of Map Revision (CLOMRs) are submitted to FEMA prior to construction, there is an opportunity to identify if threatened and endangered species may be affected by the potential project. If potential adverse impacts could occur, then the Services may require changes to the proposed activity and/or mitigation.

See Also:
 NAHB: FEMA Enacts Rules for Building in Floodplains to Comply With Endangered Species Act
9/8/2010 Community Rating System: CRS Strategic Planning and Changes Expected in 2012 A look-ahead presented by FEMA to NORFMA 2010 of the Community Rating System (CRS) that allows for NFIP rate reductions in return for flood risk awareness & reduction efforts. 
10/2010 NFIP Grandfather Rules - Fact Sheet for Insurance Agents Four pages of grandfathering rules for insurance agents as new, updated FIRMs are installed around the country.
11/2010 US Forest Service: Suiattle Access and Travel Management Plan “The proposal is to determine what roads to retain, what roads are no longer needed, and which of a variety of road treatments will be implemented on roads in the Suiattle River watershed. The purpose of the proposal is to align the size of the Forest Service road system with projected road maintenance budgets. The Mt. Baker-Snoqualmie National Forest is conducting this review of roads in the Suiattle River drainage to balance access needs with resource protection and budget. ”
11/8/2010 FEMA Letter, re: Delay to FEMA Flood Insurance Study (FIS)/Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) for Nov. 15, 2010 Meeting FEMA notifies local jurisdictions that statutory appeal period will begin in early December 2010.
12/2010 United States Government Accountability Office (GAO) Audit: FEMA Flood Maps - Some Standards and Processes in Place to Promote Map Accuracy and Outreach, but Opportunities Exist to Address Implementation Challenges “GAO reviewed the actions FEMA has taken to enhance the accuracy of updated flood maps, and FEMA’s outreach efforts in conducting flood mapping activities. GAO analyzed FEMA’s mapping standards and information systems, tested quality assurance processes, and interviewed FEMA officials and contractors.”
12/20/2010 Skagit County FIS Status Update “This email is to inform all interested parties that the Skagit County Flood Insurance Study official 90-day appeal period will begin on 12/31/10 following the second publication in the paper of record.”
2/8/2011 FEMA Blog: Answers to Some Common Questions on Flood Insurance Over the years, there has been  a number of confusing and at times misleading news reports about FEMA flood-mapping efforts and flood insurance in general.  We wanted to set the record straight and make sure that all homeowners in communities across the country have consistent and accurate information about this important topic.
3/11/2011 GAO Testimony to Congress, Re: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP)  “In order to reduce expenses to taxpayers that can result when NFIP borrows from Treasury, NFIP needs to be able to generate enough in premiums to pay its claims, even in years with catastrophic losses—a goal that is closely tied to that of eliminating subsidies and other reduced rates. Since the program’s inception, NFIP premiums have come close to covering claims in average loss years but not in years of catastrophic flooding, particularly 2005. Unlike private insurance companies, NFIP does not purchase reinsurance to cover catastrophic losses.”
4/29/2011 FEMA Region X Announcement of FIRM Modeling Update for Noncertified Levees
“In a response to members of Congress, FEMA committed to develop alternative approaches to the current "without levee" mode ling technique employed for non-accredited levees when updating the FIRMs. The intent of the proposed policy change includes evaluating methodologies to assess the flooding risk landward of non-accredited levees more precisely. Please be advised that this change may result in increased and/or decreased base flood elevations in the vicinity of a non-accredited levee. While FEMA develops the new levee risk modeling guidelines and procedures, we will temporarily withhold the issuance of Letters of Final Determination (LFDs) for communities with levees not shown as providing protection from the I -percent annual chance flood event. ... As part of Region X's response to the policy change, we have reviewed your community's mapping project(s) and have determined that there arc one or more non-accredited levees or Provisionally Accredited Levees (PALs) that are or could be affected by this levee policy change. Until the new levee risk modeling guidance is released, we will suspend the processing of the maps in areas with non-accredited levees.”
8/22/2011 2011 Local Official Survey Findings on Flood Risk A national survey of local officials about their perceptions of their local flood risk.  Awareness is key to action, as is a flood event every 10 years or so.  However, “While more than 20% of officials communicate several times each year about flood risk, nearly one-third (30%) have never communicated with citizens about flood risk.”
8/25/2011 2011 Public Survey Findings on Flood Risk “*The number of people aware that their community is at risk of flooding increased this year. Those who said they believed their community was at risk from flooding increased from 31% in 2010 to 41% in 2011. More than half (57%) did not think their community was at risk.
“*While the public doesn’t know that they are at risk of flooding, their local officials do. Two-thirds (68%) of local public officials thought that their community was at risk for flooding.
...
“Local news (87%), phone calls (25%), and mailings (24%) were the most mentioned preferred methods for hearing about a community’s flood risk. Only 10% preferred hearing about flood risk on the community’s website. ”
9/28/2011 Letter to Burlington Mayor, Re: FEMA FIRM Appeal

As you may be aware, the Preliminary FIS and FIRM for Skagit County are on hold until FEMA reassesses and develops alternative analyses for identifying flood hazard risks associated with unaccredited levees. Consequently, Mr. Thomas' request for an SRP review is premature because the Preliminary FIS and FIRM for Skagit County may change as a result of FEMA's reassessment of its levee analysis approaches.
See also: FEMA FIRM Appeals Issues Page

1/20/2012
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FEMA Levee Approach for Public Review Online Forum Presentation 69-slide presentation on FEMA's plans to map non-accredited levees for the National Flood Insurance Program.  The webinar with audio is available from FEMA as well as a Q&A webpage.

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PUBLIC HEARING TRANSCRIPTS

 

11/26/1924 Notice and Minutes of Public Hearing In Connection With Preliminary Examination of "Skagit River, Washington, With A View To The Control Of Its Floods" Directed By Flood Control Act of May 31, 1924

“I would like to emphasize the point, that Mr. Knapp brought out in his paper, that before any highly scientific plan can be prepared for the protection of this valley from floods, it is necessary to have more authoritative information than we now have as to the amount of water carried by the river in time of floods. ... The information that was collected by Mr. Stewart and given in his report to the committee was excellent so far as the dots that he had to work upon permitted, but that data was necessarily more or less inaccurate.”  Colonel W. J. Barden, Colonel, Corps of Engineers Seattle District Engineer

11/26/1924

Robert E.L. Knapp, Skagit County Engineer, Testimony for 11/26/1924 Hearing

11/26/1924

J.O. Rudene, Skagit County Property Owner Testimony for 11/26/1924 Hearing

11/26/1924

H.L. Willis, Skagit River Improvement Committee Chairman Testimony for 11/26/1924 Hearing

3/02/1937 Report of Public Hearing

The farmers have tilled the soil up close to the banks of the river; the dikes are built there, and the problem of dredging presents a situation where there is no place adequate to waste the sand that is taken from the river bed.  In other words, it will result in an attempt to confine to too narrow an area the volume of water that must escape.  That was faulty planning, or lack of planning at the start.  But the expenditures have been made and the farmers are attempting from their own pockets to keep that situation intact and improve it.” [R. V. Welts, Chairman, Skagit County Planning Council]

4/12/1949 Minutes on Public Hearing on Skagit River, Washington, Relating to Navigation

What we have now is a two-edge sword. The Skagit River is a real benefit to us, and on the other hand it is a constant hazard.” [Mr. Nordmark, Anacortes Chamber of Commerce]

2/08/1961 Public Hearing on Flood Control for the Skagit River Basin, 8 February 1961 I am particularly interested in securing information on the nature and scope of the flood control improvements desired; the problems and difficulties encountered under the present conditions, and the proposed developments which would utilize the desired improvements that you would suggest.”  [Source: Colonel R.P. Young, Corps of Engineers]
3/22/1978 Public Meeting on the Skagit River Levee and Channel Improvement Project

Meeting to discuss potential Corps projects for the Skagit River originally authorized in 1966 by Congress and to receive citizen input.  See also 3/23/78 SVH for a meeting summary.

6/17/1979 Transcript of Public Hearing

To me, to live in a flood plain and act shocked when the floods come is ridiculous. To live in the flood plain without raising the buildings is ridiculous and to expect taxpayers all over the country to pay the bills because some folks in Skagit Valley just didn't build their town right, is obsured [absurd].  If you are going to spend $55 million plus $88,000.00 a year on management costs we had better get a solution to the problem and the most recent June 1979 brochure which you got there is a list of alternatives, only four lines in this brochure are used to gloss over the only alternative that I feel that would bring a long-term solution to this flood damage problem. That would be rezoning, flood-proofing and raising the structures.”  [Source: Bruce Stroker, Big Lake Resident]

06/14/1981 Burlington City Council Partial Public Hearing Transcript in re Flood Insurance Ordinance

The Dames and Moore study discusses some kind of limitation on densities for development to allow flood flows through the area. I think that’s the big issue. When the city prepares an ordnance, does there have to be a limitation on density? If so, what form will that limitation take? Should the limitation be uniformly applied? I don’t know the answers to those and I assume that you don’t either. We need to know those answers in order to write a good ordnance. (Pete Shanin, Chairman of the Burlington Land Use Committee) See also Dames & Moore Report )

07/06/1982 Skagit County Commissioners Minutes “Bob [Boudinot] ... mentioned that Gages Slough is the principal drainage way for the City of Burlington's storm drainage system.  The city has had many problems in management and administration of the slough, but there is little they are able to do without a funding source.  As the City and County grow the impact on the slough will increase.  The City Council is aware of the problem and is interested in finding a solution.  In the past the County has attempted to establish a Sub Flood Control Zone and this has not been successful because the people on the upper end were opposed to it.”
11/01/1983 Skagit County Commissioners Minutes Discussion about putting a pump into Gages Slough.
11/01/1983 Complete Transcript of Gages Slough Discussion Skagit County Commissioner: “We don't want to inherit the water or the responsibility for handling the water for future development that we would have no control over.
4/5/1984 Transcript of Skagit County Planning Dept. Meeting with FEMA, DOE & Burlington addressing Flood Insurance Study and Gages Slough maintenance problems

Our point is that we are stuck.  There’s not enough money out there.  We’ve got 11,600 flood prone communities out there.  Skagit Valley is not the most important one.  So they’re reluctant to spend any more money.  Compared to the Mississippi the rest of us are peanuts.  (Herb McElvaine, FEMA)

6/14/1984 Skagit County Partial Transcript of Public Meeting on Flood Insurance Study

The problem, is that if you allow indiscriminate development in the floodplain, the problem is the same as what happens when you get into a full bath tub. You get into a bath tub the water goes up. If you build anywhere in the floodplain the water is going to be blocked, diverted, its got to go somewhere and its going to harm other people.” (Chuck Steele, FEMA)

11/08/1984 Transcript of Burlington City Council Meeting November 8, 1984

“Lastly there is the FLOODWAY which in the case of Burlington is only the area that runs landward of the dike by fifty feet. When you’re landward of the dike and your looking towards the river essentially nothing can be built from that distance to the river.” (Steve Ladd, City Planner)

4/8/1997 Testimony in 1997 Halverson et. al. VS. Skagit County et. al. RE: Impacts of BNSF Bridge “The basic mechanism is for the river to rearrange its boundary, its bed, by scouring it out and providing space, essentially, for the water to get passed. Despite the apparent obstruction. And this happened most recently in the 1995 flood in the Skagit River, where a pier actually failed, Burlington Northern Railway bridge being scoured, sank and tilted. So it's not an uncommon event. ”
4/23/2008 Partial Transcript of April 23, 2008 City of Burlington Public Works Presentation to City Council of Mt. Vernon

We’re not here tonight to talk about the long term ramifications of these higher base flood elevations, but I’m dismayed by the effect that it is going to have on our tax base. You know, there’s no constituency for maintaining and growing the tax base. I don’t think you’ve run on that platform to get elected, but you know its one of those wonkish things that we all know is incredibly important to our kids and our grandkids to maintain the vitality of our economic basis.” [Chal Martin, City of Burlington Public Works Director]  TV10 video also available.

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PUGET SOUND ENERGY DOCUMENTS

 

Date Title Summary
1/26/1950 Letter to Corps from Puget Power

PSE flatly refused to provide flood control in Lake Shannon due to perceived power shortage in Pacific Northwest.  Further demanded taxpayers pay for any studies necessary to study raising of dam.

1/3/1983

PSE Letter to Skagit County re Sauk River Dam

Letter explains Puget Power’s position on new dams proposed for Skagit. Didn’t believe Lower Sauk Dam was “doable” at this time.

2/1989 Baker Dam Failure Inundation Study

“The flow produced at Sedro-Woolley by the failure of both Upper and Lower Baker Dams is nearly as large as the maximum observed historic flood of 220,000 cfs on November 30, 1909.”

3/11/2005 PSE Comments on Report of Steward and Associates re: Environmental Effects of Additional Flood Control on the Baker River and Comments on Report of Pacific International Engineering (PIE) and Alexander Aaron, Inc. (Aaron), both submitted by Skagit County

PSE comments from their consultants on both environmental effects and flood control operations with respect to additional flood control storage at the Baker Dams. 

10/31/2006 Swinomish Tribe letter to PSE

Swinomish Tribe against flood control behind Baker Dams.

11/8/2006 Stephen P. Reynolds Letter to Swinomish Tribal Chairman Brian Cladoosby

PSE's response to Swinomish letter.

11/16/2006 Baker River Interim Coordinating Committee DRAFT MEETING NOTES

Interesting Discussion re last flood event and the future of flood control behind Baker Dams.

2/28/2007 Notice to PSE from FERC re: Burlington Request for Documents

PSE notified by FERC that Burlington had requested reports and other documents submitted to FERC.

3/7/2007 PSE Response to FERC re: Burlington Request

PSE under the guise of "national security" and not wanting the "general public" to have access to their dam safety records request that FERC deny Burlington's request.

03/2008 PSE Fish Enhancement Handout

PSE one-page handout describing their "fish enhancement" efforts.

04/07/2008 PSE Lower Baker Hydroelectric Project Handout

PSE handout giving basic facts about Lower Baker Dam and surrounding PSE facilities.

04/07/2008 PSE Upper Baker Hydroelectric Project Handout

PSE handout giving basic facts about Upper Baker Dam and surrounding PSE facilities.

05/19/2008

Press Release: "PSE’s new Baker River $50 million fish passage system generating success in first few weeks of operation"

“With more than 200,000 juvenile sockeye already collected, the out-migration is peaking as the second highest total run on record and may be on pace to shatter the existing record” with new PSE fish gulper.

10/13/2009
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R2 Resource Consultants Presentation: Environmental Effects of High Water Events Middle Skagit River, Washington 11-slide presentation reviewing the impacts of floods on Chinook salmon survival.  May want to see slide 9 where years following recent major flood events have direct correlation to lack of young salmon survival in the Skagit.

This document was submitted to the 2011 Skagit River GI  Scoping Efforts by the City of Burlington.
1/11/2011
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Tetra Tech Imminent Flood Analysis Article 107 (c) Presentation to the Jan. 11, 2011 meeting of the PSE Aquatic Resources Group Meetng 55-slide presentation on how preemptive drawdowns of the Baker River reservoirs would impact flooding.

This document was submitted to the 2011 Skagit River GI  Scoping Efforts by the City of Burlington.
5/5/2011 Letter from PSE President, Re: Baker River Hydroelectric Project; Reservoir Operations “Your letter also expressed concern about the consistency of PSE's ongoing efforts to fulfill the requirements of Article 1 07( c) with our obligations arising under Section 4.1.1 and Section 4.1.2 of the 2004 Settlement Agreement. ... We have and will continue to work diligently with Skagit County to encourage the Corps to adopt appropriate proposed amendments to the Water Control Manual. However, the Corps, to date, has declined to adopt the proposed amendments for reasons, to our understanding, that relate to scope of the Corps' authority to make these changes.”
5/10/2011
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Draft Meeting Minutes Baker River Project Implementation Aquatic Resources Group Article 107(c) Workshop Settlement Agreement 4.1.1 created the requirement for PSE to use reasonable best efforts to draw down the reservoirs to target elevations ahead of an imminent flood event. Article 107(c) calls for PSE to consult with ARG members, the USACE and Skagit County to develop means and operational methods to operate the reservoirs in a way that is consistent with the license. This workshop provides an opportunity to gather input from the various stakeholders. ... When a water event is approaching, the National Weather Service generally issues a warning several days in advance. 107(c) is focused on actions during this time period. At a point when a flood is declared, the Corps assumes control of the project with PSE’s cooperation. ...
What triggers an imminent flood draw-down? Mark responded that each event is evaluated on a case-by-case basis, depending on weather conditions, forecasts, time of year and reservoir levels, etc. Chal concurred and referenced the “double pumper” event in Oct. 2003 as an example of successful drawdown ahead of a flood.

This document was submitted to the 2011 Skagit River GI  Scoping Efforts by the City of Burlington.
5/26/2011
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License Articles applicable to Article 107 c or Flooding All legal language and tables governing flood control storage management for Upper Baker Dam & Lower Baker Dam.
7/11/2011 Preliminary Draft: Reservoir Management Related to Imminent Flood Conditions - Settlement Agreement Article 107C - Baker River Hydroelectric Project FERC No. 2150 “The License requires PSE to consult with the ARG (Aquatics Resource Group), and specifically Skagit County and the Corps of Engineers (the Corps), to develop means and operational methods to operate the Project reservoirs in a manner addressing imminent flood events and consistent with the requirements of the License.
...
“When a flood is imminent, the settlement agreement (section 4.1.1) requires PSE to employ reasonable best efforts to achieve target reservoir elevations (Upper Baker Reservoir is 704.92 [NAVD 88] and Lower Baker Reservoir is 423.66 [NAVD 88]). These drawdowns must be undertaken in a manner that is consistent with the License, other applicable laws, and PSE’s contractual commitments to the Corps. To date, these efforts have provided additional storage. ... As noted above, each high-water event presents its own set of conditions, and prior events are not necessarily predictive of what may occur — or can be achieved — in the future.”
7/11/2011
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PSE Publication of FERC License to Operate Baker River Hydrologic Project Settlement Agreement Article 107 Licensee shall consult with the ARG, and specifically Skagit County and the Corps of Engineers, to develop means and operational methods to operate the Project reservoirs in a manner addressing imminent flood events and consistent with the requirements of the license. Appropriate means and methods may include, without limitation, additional reservoir drawdown below the maximum established flood pool. Licensee shall submit a report to the Commission within three years following license issuance describing any operational changes developed as a result of this consultation.
Red print Puget Sound Energy's.

This document was submitted to the 2011 Skagit River GI  Scoping Efforts by the City of Burlington.

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Seattle City Light DOCUMENTS

Mostly documents dealing with storage behind Ross Dam.

Date Title Summary 
02/21/1927 Letter from USGS G. L. Parker to SCL George Holmes Moore

“We have no reasonable basis for estimating the extreme flood flow of Baker, Sauk, Cascade rivers or Thunder Creek.”  The significance of this document is that it shows USGS used Stewart's 1918 report to justify the 1923 report and if you do so, you cannot justify the figures arrived in 1923.

1939

Seattle City Light Brochure

Portion of the brochure that spoke of the flood control benefits of Ruby (Ross) Dam.  People of Skagit County were promised that with the building of the dam to elevation 1725 "all of the ordinary Skagit floods will be rendered entirely harmless."  Dam was only raised to 1620 feet. 
5/2/1947